BWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+2.2%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+8.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +14.5% median,
60% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 7
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.60%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.45 +8.1% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.1%
$22M/day volume
120% volatility
+18% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -82% from the high
$3.51$22.03
Congressional trades in BW Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Aug 18, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.03.
1-day std dev
23.3%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+46.1%
Biggest drop
-72.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +179.6% | +33.6% | +3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +66.4% | +14.9% | +30.1% | +38.6% |
| 2026-03-04 | beat | -0.05 | 0.02 | +134.4% | +20.1% | +45.7% | +82.2% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -0.10 | 0.33 | +418.1% | +28.2% | +28.3% | +87.2% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -0.11 | -0.58 | -428.7% | +2.4% | +15.7% | +15.0% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -22.6% | +1.4% | +46.1% | +25.5% |
| 2025-03-31 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +44.7% | +4.6% | -31.8% | -53.3% |
| 2024-11-12 | — | 0.10 | — | -15.0% | -28.5% | -22.1% | |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +40.9% | +15.3% | +6.3% | -8.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.15 | -0.06 | +58.5% | -4.9% | +5.7% | +0.8% |
| 2024-03-14 | miss | -0.08 | -0.18 | -130.8% | -10.2% | -22.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.02 | -1.19 | -7233.9% | -22.5% | -54.5% | -22.9% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +68.2% | +3.6% | +3.4% | -4.4% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +7.9% | +1.8% | +0.0% | -2.5% |
| 2023-03-15 | miss | 0.06 | -0.03 | -147.3% | +2.2% | -0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.11 | -0.16 | -42.1% | -6.1% | +4.2% | +19.0% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +60.2% | -4.5% | -9.1% | -4.5% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.07 | -0.14 | -102.9% | +0.4% | -24.4% | -2.0% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | 0.11 | 0.20 | +89.1% | -3.7% | +5.0% | +26.6% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +144.4% | +11.5% | +24.3% | +33.2% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -62.0% | -0.5% | +2.4% | -9.2% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | -0.33 | -0.17 | +48.2% | +1.2% | +5.5% | +26.6% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | -0.16 | 0.17 | +209.3% | +6.0% | +20.0% | +9.3% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | -0.51 | 0.69 | +234.5% | +5.6% | -0.7% | +14.2% |
| 2020-08-12 | beat | -0.61 | -0.26 | +56.7% | +4.0% | -7.7% | -10.7% |
| 2020-05-14 | miss | -0.37 | -0.58 | -55.6% | +9.8% | -2.2% | +34.2% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | 0.40 | -1.39 | -447.5% | -1.9% | -3.2% | -12.1% |
| 2019-04-02 | miss | -0.90 | -16.54 | -1738.2% | -21.3% | -36.2% | -25.5% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | 0.30 | -6.20 | -2166.7% | -1.0% | +2.9% | -11.2% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | 0.40 | -3.24 | -909.5% | -11.8% | -24.6% | -23.0% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | -1.90 | -21.90 | -1052.6% | -9.6% | +3.5% | +8.1% |
| 2018-03-01 | miss | -0.59 | -9.50 | -1503.4% | -26.1% | -9.2% | +5.4% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -2.45 | -4.90 | -100.0% | -5.4% | +11.5% | +10.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 0.57 | -25.60 | -4617.6% | -46.9% | -72.3% | -77.7% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -0.30 | 0.40 | +234.8% | +1.9% | +10.3% | +9.5% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | 3.72 | -16.00 | -529.8% | -32.8% | -37.4% | -39.3% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 2.57 | 2.40 | -6.6% | -0.7% | -10.3% | -2.2% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | -1.58 | -2.00 | -26.4% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +11.0% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 2.11 | 2.70 | +27.9% | -1.2% | -4.7% | -4.3% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 4.27 | 4.70 | +10.1% | -3.2% | -9.2% | -5.4% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 3.21 | 2.50 | -22.1% | -3.6% | +0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 2.07 | 2.70 | +30.4% | +1.8% | +5.1% | -5.7% |
Posted about BW
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Fri, 02 Oct
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long
9.60
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Not investment advice.
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