CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.8% median,
54% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.47 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$5M/day volume
26% volatility
+48% 1-year
-5% from ATH
52-week range · 86% of the way up · -5% from the high
$37.78$60.59
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-26 (Tuesday, before open, in 88 days) · EPS est. 1.36.
1-day std dev
2.6%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+5.5%
Biggest drop
-10.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | miss | 1.34 | 1.34 | -0.1% | -0.5% | -1.6% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 1.29 | 1.35 | +4.8% | +1.9% | +5.5% | +9.0% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 1.25 | 1.29 | +3.4% | +4.1% | +0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2026-01-27 | beat | 1.32 | 1.33 | +0.8% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 1.19 | 1.24 | +4.2% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | 1.11 | 0.89 | -19.5% | -2.1% | -10.2% | -11.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.99 | 0.95 | -3.5% | -4.0% | -0.6% | +4.3% |
| 2025-01-28 | beat | 0.89 | 1.03 | +16.4% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +2.5% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.83 | 0.94 | +13.6% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.71 | 0.82 | +15.9% | +1.1% | +3.3% | -7.8% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +22.0% | +0.7% | +3.5% | +5.4% |
| 2024-01-30 | beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | -2.1% | -1.2% | -12.6% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.75 | 0.96 | +28.9% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +16.9% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.6% | +1.0% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.88 | 0.88 | +0.3% | -1.4% | -2.9% | -8.3% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 1.04 | 1.05 | +1.0% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | 1.06 | 0.98 | -7.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -1.9% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 1.08 | 1.03 | -4.3% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -2.4% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 0.98 | 1.14 | +15.8% | -1.0% | +0.0% | -4.6% |
| 2022-01-25 | beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +11.1% | +0.1% | +2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-26 | miss | 1.01 | 0.98 | -3.4% | -0.7% | -3.1% | -2.0% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +9.8% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -0.1% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.01 | 1.32 | +31.0% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2021-01-26 | beat | 0.96 | 1.23 | +28.7% | +4.1% | +0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.83 | 1.18 | +42.2% | +2.9% | -3.0% | +2.3% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.7% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -4.2% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 0.69 | 0.90 | +29.6% | +5.8% | +4.7% | -0.2% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 0.89 | 1.00 | +11.8% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +6.6% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 0.87 | 0.86 | -1.3% | -4.5% | +0.0% | -4.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.78 | 0.92 | +18.2% | +4.2% | +0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2019-01-29 | beat | 0.84 | 0.91 | +8.3% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +6.3% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +5.7% | +4.4% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
| 2018-07-31 | miss | 0.81 | 0.79 | -2.4% | +5.4% | +3.5% | -1.3% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.82 | 0.83 | +1.3% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.9% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +0.0% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2017-07-25 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +0.9% | +0.1% | +1.9% | -0.3% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +5.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -1.9% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +13.3% | +3.2% | +4.8% | +6.4% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.1% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -2.4% |
| 2016-04-26 | miss | 0.59 | 0.57 | -4.0% | +0.8% | +0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2016-02-04 | miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -6.0% | -5.2% | -4.0% | -2.2% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.6% | +1.5% | +1.6% | +6.4% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +25.2% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2015-04-28 | miss | 0.55 | 0.50 | -9.3% | -0.2% | +1.0% | -6.2% |
| 2015-01-27 | miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -6.6% | +1.5% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.7% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +4.1% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +19.4% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +1.1% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +3.1% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -8.2% |
| 2014-01-28 | miss | 0.57 | 0.52 | -9.5% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| 2013-10-29 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -0.8% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -4.6% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -1.1% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 0.57 | 0.50 | -11.4% | +0.7% | -2.8% | +3.4% |
| 2013-01-29 | miss | 0.58 | 0.42 | -27.7% | -0.6% | -2.7% | -2.4% |
| 2012-10-30 | miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -2.6% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| 2012-07-31 | miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -5.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.5% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -1.0% |
| 2012-01-31 | miss | 0.63 | 0.51 | -19.4% | -0.6% | +4.1% | +4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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