CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
-0.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.1% median,
59% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.22 -0.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$79M/day volume
30% volatility
-27% 1-year
-50% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -33% from the high
$60.13$95.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-06 (Wednesday, before open, in 67 days) · EPS est. -1.00.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+13.8%
Biggest drop
-14.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | miss | -0.76 | -1.24 | -63.2% | -7.4% | -0.7% | -8.5% |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 0.11 | -0.77 | -804.2% | -6.7% | +0.7% | +7.2% |
| 2026-04-01 | beat | 0.78 | 1.06 | +36.5% | +3.9% | +5.3% | -1.8% |
| 2026-01-07 | beat | 2.01 | 2.14 | +6.9% | +3.5% | -1.6% | -6.8% |
| 2025-10-01 | miss | 5.35 | 4.00 | -25.2% | -7.5% | -1.2% | -2.1% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 6.28 | 7.05 | +12.2% | +8.1% | +13.8% | +6.2% |
| 2025-04-08 | miss | 10.75 | 10.39 | -3.3% | -7.0% | +2.5% | +2.4% |
| 2025-01-07 | beat | 4.25 | 4.48 | +5.4% | +5.9% | +1.0% | +7.9% |
| 2024-10-01 | miss | 3.45 | 3.06 | -11.2% | -0.8% | -1.9% | +17.0% |
| 2024-07-23 | miss | 2.46 | 2.32 | -5.7% | -1.1% | +3.1% | +10.4% |
| 2024-04-02 | beat | 2.88 | 2.99 | +3.9% | +4.9% | +3.6% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-03 | miss | 0.91 | 0.35 | -61.2% | -2.9% | +2.6% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-03 | miss | 0.73 | 0.02 | -97.5% | -10.8% | -7.3% | +1.3% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 2.12 | 2.27 | +7.0% | +2.6% | +0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2023-03-28 | beat | 6.34 | 6.62 | +4.4% | +4.8% | +6.8% | +2.0% |
| 2022-12-28 | miss | 4.18 | 4.07 | -2.7% | -4.3% | -14.5% | -11.6% |
| 2022-09-27 | beat | 2.28 | 2.57 | +12.8% | -0.9% | -0.3% | -7.7% |
| 2022-07-19 | beat | 1.96 | 2.22 | +13.2% | +2.9% | +2.0% | +3.9% |
| 2022-03-29 | miss | 0.87 | 0.80 | -8.6% | +3.6% | +1.6% | +11.4% |
| 2021-12-28 | miss | 0.10 | -0.02 | -116.3% | -6.9% | -5.4% | +1.1% |
| 2021-09-28 | beat | -0.82 | -0.37 | +54.8% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2021-07-19 | beat | -0.18 | -0.07 | +61.5% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -3.2% |
| 2021-03-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.29 | +236.1% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -3.4% |
| 2021-01-05 | beat | -0.12 | 0.25 | +309.5% | +6.8% | +3.1% | -0.8% |
| 2020-09-28 | beat | -0.59 | -0.40 | +32.3% | +4.2% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2020-07-20 | miss | 1.41 | 1.24 | -12.2% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2020-03-30 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.0% | +5.4% | +0.0% | -3.2% |
| 2020-01-06 | miss | 0.08 | -0.20 | -355.9% | -10.4% | -7.9% | -8.8% |
| 2019-09-30 | miss | -0.93 | -0.94 | -0.5% | -8.4% | -12.0% | -15.0% |
| 2019-07-22 | miss | -0.28 | -0.42 | -50.2% | -6.8% | -0.9% | -0.6% |
| 2019-04-01 | beat | 0.45 | 0.82 | +83.2% | +4.6% | -3.0% | -4.7% |
| 2019-01-04 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.0% | +2.7% | +3.4% | +0.4% |
| 2018-10-01 | miss | 0.52 | 0.26 | -49.5% | -11.7% | -6.8% | -7.3% |
| 2018-07-23 | 1.48 | 1.48 | — | -1.0% | -2.2% | -2.7% | |
| 2018-04-02 | miss | 1.45 | 1.27 | -12.7% | +0.9% | -0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2018-01-05 | miss | 0.69 | 0.55 | -20.8% | -4.5% | -6.8% | +0.9% |
| 2017-10-02 | miss | -0.20 | -0.33 | -63.6% | -6.1% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2017-07-24 | miss | -0.24 | -0.51 | -110.7% | -6.9% | -6.1% | +2.8% |
| 2017-03-27 | miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -35.7% | -6.0% | +0.4% | -2.7% |
| 2016-12-22 | beat | -0.48 | -0.48 | +0.5% | -2.0% | +7.0% | +4.2% |
| 2016-09-26 | miss | -0.41 | -0.64 | -56.1% | -4.3% | -2.6% | -9.2% |
| 2016-07-18 | beat | -0.19 | -0.01 | +94.7% | +1.1% | +0.1% | -7.4% |
| 2016-03-28 | beat | 0.99 | 1.33 | +33.8% | +5.7% | +8.8% | +3.5% |
| 2015-12-23 | miss | 2.40 | 2.26 | -5.7% | -6.2% | -0.2% | -3.8% |
| 2015-09-28 | miss | 3.14 | 2.95 | -6.0% | -5.1% | -12.2% | +3.5% |
| 2015-07-20 | miss | 1.04 | 0.95 | -8.4% | -6.1% | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2015-03-30 | miss | 1.13 | 1.05 | -6.9% | +0.8% | -1.8% | -0.2% |
| 2014-12-23 | miss | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.4% | -8.1% | -3.9% | -12.5% |
| 2014-09-29 | beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +4.8% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +11.7% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.60 | 0.65 | +8.1% | +0.5% | -4.8% | -10.9% |
| 2014-03-31 | beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.3% | +6.1% | +9.2% | +6.5% |
| 2013-12-30 | miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -3.0% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -5.7% |
| 2013-09-30 | miss | 0.25 | 0.18 | -26.6% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2013-07-29 | miss | 0.38 | 0.28 | -28.5% | +0.4% | +0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2013-04-01 | beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +6.8% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.6% |
| 2012-12-31 | miss | 0.49 | 0.30 | -38.4% | -10.3% | -9.5% | -8.5% |
| 2012-10-01 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +3.5% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.4% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +7.0% |
| 2012-03-26 | miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -3.9% | +0.5% | -6.1% | -7.2% |
| 2011-12-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.49 | +39.2% | +4.2% | +4.4% | +6.6% |
Not investment advice.
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