CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +8.6% median,
75% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.26%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.45 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.3%
$45M/day volume
40% volatility
-1% 1-year
-41% from ATH
52-week range · 50% of the way up · -18% from the high
$26.39$41.22
Congressional trades in CARG Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 3 sells · $6K–$90K disclosed · latest filing May 15, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.66.
1-day std dev
13.3%
Finished up
64%
Biggest pop
+44.0%
Biggest drop
-26.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +7.6% | +10.0% | +7.2% | +2.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.8% | -0.2% | -8.9% | -24.9% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.4% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +5.1% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.7% | +3.2% | +0.6% | +7.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +4.4% | -2.9% | -7.3% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +5.5% | +13.3% | +11.2% | +16.1% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.2% | -14.1% | -17.1% | -14.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.6% | +13.2% | +4.3% | +6.8% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +22.2% | +11.9% | +20.3% | +26.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +13.6% | +5.1% | +8.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +4.4% | -5.8% | -1.5% | -6.9% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +30.7% | +7.4% | +4.4% | +12.4% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.23 | 0.29 | +23.5% | +3.0% | -6.1% | -6.8% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +60.5% | +19.2% | +14.9% | +18.5% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | 0.11 | 0.22 | +103.1% | +5.3% | +6.4% | +0.5% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | 0.25 | 0.21 | -16.7% | -32.3% | -7.9% | +1.5% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.0% | -14.9% | -25.5% | -19.3% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +4.2% | -14.4% | -22.9% | -15.1% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.30 | 0.43 | +42.1% | +13.5% | +44.0% | +29.3% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +14.1% | +4.3% | +5.6% | +6.8% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.25 | 0.41 | +65.2% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +2.1% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +45.2% | +4.8% | +13.6% | +18.7% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +16.6% | -8.8% | -7.5% | -19.8% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.37 | +71.0% | +4.1% | +4.0% | +0.2% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.19 | +2015.8% | -5.7% | -5.7% | -12.0% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.07 | 0.19 | +175.2% | +4.5% | +3.6% | -7.4% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +26.3% | -24.1% | -26.5% | -21.2% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +50.8% | +1.1% | +6.7% | +13.6% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +37.7% | +2.1% | +0.4% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +74.8% | +5.9% | -1.8% | -8.0% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +50.6% | +1.1% | -5.5% | -8.2% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +60.0% | +18.3% | +4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +55.6% | +12.7% | +17.9% | +10.2% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +200.0% | +3.3% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +316.7% | +3.1% | +11.2% | +17.0% |
| 2017-11-14 | — | 0.02 | — | +13.5% | +4.1% | -4.1% |
Not investment advice.
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