CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.3% median,
69% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 21
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.55 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$17M/day volume
29% volatility
+11% 1-year
-26% from ATH
52-week range · 27% of the way up · -26% from the high
$65.87$101.26
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 81 days) · EPS est. 1.57.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+25.4%
Biggest drop
-21.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 55 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 1.58 | 1.85 | +17.1% | +2.3% | +3.4% | +3.3% |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 1.95 | 1.37 | -29.6% | -12.8% | -6.3% | -1.1% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 3.35 | 3.35 | +0.1% | -3.0% | -11.0% | -11.8% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 1.38 | 1.57 | +13.8% | +2.8% | +7.3% | +13.0% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 1.38 | 1.69 | +22.9% | +0.9% | +0.0% | -5.1% |
| 2025-07-28 | beat | 1.67 | 1.81 | +8.4% | +2.1% | -3.2% | -7.1% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 2.78 | 3.41 | +22.5% | +5.9% | +6.0% | +6.6% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 1.24 | 1.26 | +1.9% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2024-10-23 | miss | 1.41 | 1.35 | -4.3% | -0.1% | -3.5% | -2.6% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 1.55 | 1.66 | +7.1% | +0.4% | +5.4% | +0.8% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 2.35 | 2.18 | -7.1% | +4.4% | +3.6% | +2.1% |
| 2024-01-24 | miss | 1.24 | 1.06 | -14.5% | -4.1% | +2.2% | -2.8% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 1.25 | 1.36 | +8.8% | +7.0% | +8.3% | +13.1% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 1.47 | 1.76 | +19.5% | +6.3% | -6.7% | -9.5% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 2.02 | 2.18 | +8.2% | +8.1% | +7.0% | +5.5% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.6% | +5.0% | +7.3% | +13.8% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.71 | 1.04 | +47.5% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +6.0% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.92 | 0.93 | +0.7% | -9.2% | -21.2% | -20.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 1.97 | 1.73 | -12.3% | -1.5% | -4.9% | -10.6% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +15.3% | +4.4% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 0.81 | 0.69 | -13.8% | -3.0% | -6.8% | +1.7% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.89 | 1.21 | +36.0% | +3.8% | +2.3% | -2.1% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.57 | 1.84 | +17.2% | +0.9% | +7.9% | +7.7% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.84 | +64.7% | -2.8% | +6.1% | +14.8% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.18 | 0.42 | +133.3% | +18.1% | +25.4% | +30.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.21 | 0.53 | +155.4% | +3.4% | +6.9% | +1.1% |
| 2020-04-22 | miss | 1.19 | 0.99 | -16.1% | -2.9% | -7.2% | +7.7% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 0.50 | 0.67 | +33.7% | +3.8% | +2.7% | +4.9% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +15.4% | -9.2% | -10.0% | -10.7% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.75 | +52.3% | +4.0% | +10.7% | +6.1% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.87 | 1.10 | +26.8% | +2.7% | +14.5% | +14.4% |
| 2019-01-28 | miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -10.0% | +1.0% | +7.7% | +5.1% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.49 | +104.9% | -6.0% | +5.3% | +7.2% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +31.8% | -15.4% | -6.3% | -8.0% |
| 2018-04-30 | miss | 1.38 | 1.16 | -16.2% | -6.3% | -7.2% | -6.9% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.35 | +74.7% | +8.0% | +13.4% | +6.4% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +38.4% | +12.1% | +5.8% | +4.8% |
| 2017-07-26 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -2.9% | +0.9% | -1.5% | -20.7% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 1.33 | 1.32 | -0.7% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -3.6% |
| 2017-01-30 | miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -16.6% | -0.4% | -12.5% | -5.3% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +22.3% | -0.1% | +2.9% | +3.1% |
| 2016-07-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.41 | +52.9% | +0.6% | +3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.54 | 0.61 | +14.0% | +1.1% | +7.4% | +4.7% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -4.2% | +5.6% | +13.0% | +7.3% |
| 2015-10-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +7.6% | -0.2% | +2.9% | +4.8% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | 0.29 | 0.22 | -25.0% | -1.1% | +0.4% | -3.1% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -14.0% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -1.0% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -2.6% | -0.2% | +4.9% | +5.2% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -10.4% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -15.0% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2014-05-05 | miss | 0.30 | 0.22 | -25.6% | -1.2% | +0.2% | -2.7% |
| 2014-02-04 | miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -5.8% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +0.5% |
| 2013-12-02 | beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +0.4% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -3.5% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +32.0% | +0.4% | +4.7% | +11.1% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.18 | 0.31 | +68.0% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -3.1% |
Not investment advice.
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