CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.6%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.1% median,
40% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +1.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.59 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$5M/day volume
110% volatility
-61% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -83% from the high
$1.03$6.16
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.25.
1-day std dev
6.4%
Finished up
29%
Biggest pop
+10.3%
Biggest drop
-19.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 58 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -0.27 | -0.22 | +19.0% | +1.7% | +6.0% | +7.0% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.32 | -0.25 | +21.7% | +4.6% | -2.8% | -6.4% |
| 2026-03-16 | miss | -0.34 | -0.51 | -47.1% | -0.8% | -5.2% | -17.8% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -0.32 | -0.35 | -8.8% | -3.2% | +0.0% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-13 | miss | -0.29 | -0.30 | -3.3% | -0.8% | -4.3% | -15.1% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.27 | -0.25 | +7.9% | +4.0% | +1.6% | +12.7% |
| 2025-03-26 | beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +4.0% | -1.3% | +1.3% | -13.7% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -3.1% | +0.9% | -6.9% | -42.2% |
| 2024-08-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -15.6% | -9.0% | +5.7% | +22.5% |
| 2024-05-15 | beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +28.6% | +2.8% | -10.8% | -15.3% |
| 2024-03-28 | miss | -0.40 | -0.90 | -125.0% | +4.2% | -0.8% | +23.3% |
| 2023-11-14 | -0.40 | -0.40 | — | +13.0% | +8.7% | +13.0% | |
| 2023-08-11 | miss | -0.30 | -0.40 | -33.3% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -16.3% |
| 2022-05-10 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | -3.3% | -10.0% | +0.0% | |
| 2022-02-08 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | +5.3% | +7.9% | +0.0% | |
| 2021-11-10 | miss | -0.10 | -0.20 | -100.0% | -4.8% | -4.8% | -19.4% |
| 2021-09-21 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | -3.1% | -3.1% | -3.1% | |
| 2021-05-13 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | +3.8% | -1.3% | +2.6% | |
| 2021-02-09 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | +2.3% | -1.1% | -10.8% | |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | -0.20 | -0.10 | +50.0% | -4.8% | -7.1% | -14.3% |
| 2020-09-17 | miss | -0.15 | -0.20 | -33.3% | -17.9% | -19.2% | -30.8% |
| 2020-05-12 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +33.3% | +21.8% | +10.3% | -12.8% |
| 2020-02-11 | beat | -0.20 | -0.10 | +50.0% | +2.0% | -5.1% | -10.2% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.20 | -0.13 | +33.8% | +17.6% | +8.8% | +14.7% |
| 2019-09-24 | -0.20 | -0.20 | — | -2.4% | -12.2% | -24.4% | |
| 2019-05-09 | -0.20 | -0.20 | — | +2.3% | +2.3% | +4.7% | |
| 2019-02-12 | -0.20 | -0.20 | — | -6.5% | -8.7% | -15.2% | |
| 2018-11-08 | -0.20 | -0.20 | — | -4.5% | -11.4% | -11.4% | |
| 2018-09-25 | miss | -0.33 | -0.40 | -20.0% | -13.8% | -8.6% | -12.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.3% | -2.1% | -6.4% | +14.9% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | -0.20 | -0.30 | -50.0% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -14.6% |
| 2017-11-14 | — | -0.27 | — | -4.7% | +0.0% | +20.9% | |
| 2017-09-28 | miss | -0.10 | -0.33 | -232.0% | +1.8% | -3.6% | -3.6% |
| 2016-09-08 | miss | -0.20 | -0.30 | -50.0% | -2.6% | +0.0% | -9.0% |
| 2016-05-10 | — | -0.20 | — | +1.0% | +4.8% | -9.5% | |
| 2015-09-14 | miss | -0.10 | -0.20 | -100.0% | +0.7% | -5.2% | -4.6% |
| 2015-05-15 | miss | -0.10 | -0.20 | -100.0% | -1.9% | -4.4% | +22.8% |
| 2015-02-17 | -0.20 | -0.20 | — | +0.0% | -2.1% | +19.0% | |
| 2014-11-14 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | -3.7% | +0.0% | -6.2% | |
| 2014-09-29 | -0.30 | -0.30 | — | -10.5% | -11.5% | -13.6% | |
| 2014-05-16 | miss | -0.30 | -0.50 | -66.7% | -5.5% | -1.7% | -3.8% |
| 2014-02-18 | beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.3% | -1.4% | -5.5% | +4.1% |
| 2013-11-15 | miss | -0.25 | -0.60 | -140.0% | -2.0% | +6.1% | -2.0% |
| 2013-05-15 | beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +6.2% |
| 2013-02-14 | miss | -0.30 | -0.32 | -6.0% | -4.0% | -10.7% | -9.3% |
| 2012-11-14 | miss | -0.30 | -0.33 | -10.7% | +0.0% | -6.0% | -16.0% |
| 2012-09-28 | miss | -0.30 | -0.40 | -33.3% | -2.6% | -6.5% | -9.1% |
| 2012-05-15 | beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.3% | +2.9% | +1.5% | +4.4% |
| 2012-02-14 | beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.3% | -1.5% | -7.4% | -19.1% |
| 2011-11-15 | miss | -0.30 | -0.40 | -33.3% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +25.0% |
| 2011-09-28 | beat | -0.30 | -0.27 | +10.7% | +4.1% | +5.2% | +2.1% |
| 2011-05-16 | -0.30 | -0.30 | — | +2.1% | +10.3% | +10.3% | |
| 2011-02-14 | beat | -0.40 | -0.30 | +25.0% | -0.7% | -9.6% | -11.0% |
| 2010-11-16 | beat | -0.50 | -0.40 | +20.0% | -1.7% | +5.1% | +19.7% |
| 2010-09-28 | miss | -0.46 | -0.50 | -8.7% | +0.9% | +3.7% | +0.9% |
| 2010-05-12 | miss | -0.37 | -0.50 | -33.3% | -3.8% | +2.3% | -12.3% |
| 2010-02-16 | miss | -0.30 | -0.40 | -33.3% | -2.6% | -5.2% | -6.9% |
| 2009-11-16 | beat | -0.50 | -0.40 | +20.0% | -1.2% | -11.0% | +2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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