CDModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +3.1% median,
58% of the last 36 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.36%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.39 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$6M/day volume
67% volatility
-23% 1-year
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -41% from the high
$2.87$6.96
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.13.
1-day std dev
4.3%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+12.2%
Biggest drop
-11.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | miss | -0.11 | -0.15 | -40.6% | -1.4% | -1.1% | +4.3% |
| 2026-05-14 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -12.5% | +0.2% | -11.2% | -8.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | miss | -0.11 | -0.13 | -18.2% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +3.9% |
| 2025-11-13 | miss | -0.09 | -0.10 | -11.1% | -1.5% | +4.6% | +18.7% |
| 2025-08-13 | miss | -0.09 | -0.11 | -22.2% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2025-05-14 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -27.3% | -2.3% | -1.7% | -8.7% |
| 2025-03-28 | miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -75.0% | -0.9% | -3.7% | -21.5% |
| 2024-11-13 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -9.1% | +1.2% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | -0.10 | -0.15 | -50.0% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +6.3% |
| 2023-05-15 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -34.8% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +16.4% |
| 2023-03-30 | miss | -0.10 | -0.15 | -50.0% | +0.2% | -1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2022-11-14 | miss | -0.14 | -0.15 | -7.1% | +1.5% | +11.2% | +8.8% |
| 2022-08-12 | miss | -0.10 | -0.13 | -30.0% | +1.0% | +3.4% | +0.7% |
| 2022-03-29 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -23.1% | +0.5% | +9.4% | +3.8% |
| 2021-11-12 | miss | -0.12 | -0.19 | -57.1% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -16.8% |
| 2021-08-13 | miss | -0.20 | -0.30 | -50.0% | +0.4% | +3.9% | +4.3% |
| 2021-05-17 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -14.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +8.0% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | -0.20 | -0.28 | -40.0% | +0.4% | +0.0% | -1.7% |
| 2017-11-08 | -0.26 | -0.26 | — | -0.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% | |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | -0.26 | -0.45 | -72.5% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -10.5% |
| 2017-03-16 | miss | -0.26 | -0.34 | -30.8% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2015-05-08 | beat | -0.27 | -0.27 | +1.1% | +0.0% | -3.1% | +8.3% |
| 2015-03-09 | beat | -0.36 | -0.30 | +17.1% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -5.2% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.35 | -0.28 | +20.9% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +12.4% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | -0.30 | -0.28 | +6.7% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +9.2% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | -0.35 | -0.29 | +16.2% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 2014-03-10 | miss | -0.14 | -0.38 | -179.4% | +0.3% | +1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | -0.09 | -0.31 | -244.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | -0.06 | -0.29 | -360.3% | +0.9% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | -0.33 | -0.48 | -43.3% | +1.2% | -1.6% | +2.4% |
| 2013-03-15 | miss | -0.29 | -0.38 | -31.0% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -0.29 | -0.31 | -8.4% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -7.2% |
| 2012-03-15 | miss | -0.26 | -0.33 | -26.9% | +0.7% | -6.0% | -6.0% |
| 2011-08-08 | miss | -0.25 | -0.27 | -6.7% | +2.9% | +12.2% | -8.9% |
| 2011-05-09 | miss | -0.25 | -0.31 | -22.5% | +0.1% | +1.9% | -10.7% |
| 2011-03-16 | miss | -0.25 | -0.26 | -2.0% | +2.2% | -0.6% | +3.0% |
Not investment advice.
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