CLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -1.8% median,
49% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.21 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.9%
$37M/day volume
53% volatility
+12% 1-year
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -36% from the high
$22.10$45.14
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -1.01.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+27.8%
Biggest drop
-21.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -1.06 | -0.94 | +11.4% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -1.13 | -1.18 | -4.2% | +4.9% | +2.0% | -5.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | -1.00 | -1.22 | -22.5% | -2.5% | -0.6% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -0.89 | -1.01 | -13.2% | -1.8% | +7.5% | +12.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.84 | -0.85 | -1.0% | -4.4% | -2.6% | +20.2% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.74 | -0.81 | -9.1% | -6.8% | -6.1% | +4.8% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -0.71 | -0.71 | +0.6% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.67 | -0.64 | +5.1% | +1.3% | -4.2% | -6.8% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.59 | -0.54 | +9.0% | +0.4% | +0.6% | +4.5% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | -0.67 | -0.56 | +16.8% | -1.4% | +1.3% | -5.2% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | -0.67 | -0.59 | +11.6% | +3.9% | +27.8% | +34.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -0.66 | -0.81 | -23.1% | +5.8% | +8.2% | +12.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.66 | -0.65 | +2.0% | -13.3% | -5.8% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -0.60 | -0.62 | -2.5% | +0.1% | +5.7% | +9.1% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.57 | -0.56 | +1.8% | +0.6% | +8.5% | +6.5% |
| 2022-11-09 | -0.57 | -0.57 | — | +4.7% | +16.0% | +5.2% | |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.42 | -0.58 | -40.3% | -2.0% | -5.8% | -0.4% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.43 | -0.50 | -16.0% | -2.7% | -5.0% | -1.2% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.38 | -0.46 | -20.4% | -0.7% | +5.6% | -4.3% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | -0.35 | -0.37 | -7.4% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -4.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.40 | -0.34 | +15.7% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -8.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.37 | -0.42 | -13.5% | -1.6% | +2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2021-03-29 | beat | -0.37 | -0.20 | +45.5% | -6.4% | -3.6% | +2.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.38 | -0.36 | +5.3% | -3.4% | +1.2% | +12.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.58 | -0.57 | +1.1% | -3.5% | -4.9% | -12.0% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.72 | -0.73 | -1.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -5.9% |
| 2020-03-26 | beat | -0.87 | -0.62 | +29.2% | -5.0% | +3.4% | -3.4% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.84 | -0.75 | +10.7% | +7.5% | -4.2% | -10.9% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -1.17 | -0.84 | +28.2% | -5.1% | +2.3% | -0.9% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | -1.14 | -1.40 | -22.8% | -1.8% | -3.6% | -13.8% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | -1.20 | -0.81 | +32.5% | -2.2% | +10.9% | +2.6% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -2.55 | -0.60 | +76.5% | +2.9% | +11.8% | +0.0% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -2.70 | -1.65 | +38.9% | +0.0% | -6.2% | -12.5% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -3.03 | -12.60 | -315.8% | -2.6% | -6.5% | -10.4% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | -3.87 | -3.09 | +20.1% | +4.5% | +11.3% | +0.8% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -4.01 | -3.00 | +25.2% | +2.9% | +10.1% | +16.4% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -4.17 | -3.45 | +17.3% | +3.5% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -4.31 | -4.20 | +2.6% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2017-03-14 | beat | -4.99 | -4.50 | +9.8% | +1.8% | +3.3% | -1.8% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -5.00 | -4.35 | +13.0% | +1.2% | +14.9% | +45.0% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | -5.03 | -4.80 | +4.5% | +0.2% | +3.5% | -2.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | -5.21 | -5.25 | -0.7% | +1.8% | -8.9% | -9.7% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | -5.14 | -4.95 | +3.8% | -0.1% | -4.6% | +7.0% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -5.18 | -4.80 | +7.2% | -3.3% | +10.1% | +13.7% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -5.20 | -4.95 | +4.8% | -21.3% | -20.6% | -26.4% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | -5.25 | -4.95 | +5.7% | +2.4% | +2.6% | +2.8% |
| 2015-02-24 | miss | -5.18 | -5.40 | -4.3% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | -4.85 | -4.65 | +4.1% | +0.4% | -21.0% | -10.7% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | -3.90 | -4.80 | -23.1% | +0.3% | +4.5% | +13.8% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | -3.75 | -4.95 | -32.0% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -26.1% |
| 2014-03-03 | beat | -4.24 | -4.05 | +4.4% | -6.4% | -10.1% | -14.8% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | -3.70 | -4.35 | -17.6% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +0.3% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | -3.45 | -3.60 | -4.3% | -1.7% | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | -3.60 | -3.45 | +4.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -7.6% |
| 2013-03-07 | miss | -3.80 | -4.05 | -6.6% | -2.3% | -4.6% | +10.2% |
| 2012-11-01 | miss | -3.69 | -3.75 | -1.6% | -0.2% | +1.6% | -2.4% |
| 2012-08-10 | beat | -3.69 | -3.45 | +6.5% | +1.1% | -4.0% | -2.1% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | -3.69 | -4.05 | -9.8% | +0.0% | -5.0% | -3.8% |
| 2012-03-07 | miss | -3.90 | -4.35 | -11.5% | +1.7% | +5.0% | +19.1% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | -3.75 | -4.05 | -8.0% | +2.4% | +4.5% | -5.8% |
Not investment advice.
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