CLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+2.2%
Next 1 week
+2.6%
Next 1 month
+8.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +25.7% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.25%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.65 +8.6% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.1%
$156M/day volume
91% volatility
-60% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -63% from the high
$7.06$19.30
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-24 (Tuesday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. -0.37.
1-day std dev
12.8%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+32.9%
Biggest drop
-16.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 28 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.33 | -0.39 | -16.3% | +9.6% | -3.5% | -5.2% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | -0.23 | -0.49 | -114.9% | -8.0% | -5.8% | +2.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.21 | -1.32 | -745.7% | +7.4% | +22.0% | +19.2% |
| 2025-11-25 | miss | 0.54 | 0.16 | -69.9% | +3.9% | +13.8% | +27.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.07 | 0.79 | +1028.3% | +2.6% | -6.1% | -9.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.08 | -0.48 | -704.8% | -3.6% | +6.0% | +12.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | -0.16 | 0.80 | +599.6% | +11.3% | +9.2% | +1.2% |
| 2024-12-02 | beat | -0.16 | 0.28 | +275.8% | -8.2% | -3.9% | -10.9% |
| 2024-08-09 | — | -0.18 | — | -3.1% | -2.6% | +4.8% | |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -51.6% | +2.7% | +1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | -0.26 | 0.15 | +157.8% | +24.0% | +32.9% | +70.1% |
| 2023-11-30 | miss | -0.13 | -0.40 | -210.3% | -5.3% | +22.4% | +65.7% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +11.6% | +1.6% | +16.0% | +8.1% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +3.3% | -5.1% | -13.9% | -14.1% |
| 2023-02-09 | miss | -0.35 | -0.41 | -17.9% | -2.5% | -8.8% | +4.3% |
| 2022-12-15 | miss | -0.39 | -0.61 | -55.4% | -10.5% | -16.7% | -10.5% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.15 | -0.44 | -194.3% | +6.8% | +27.8% | +8.8% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 0.27 | 0.10 | -61.6% | -13.2% | -11.9% | +0.9% |
| 2022-02-09 | miss | 0.31 | 0.25 | -19.5% | +0.5% | +11.6% | +23.3% |
| 2021-12-14 | beat | 0.07 | 0.27 | +279.6% | -5.9% | +3.3% | -7.0% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | 0.07 | -0.32 | -556.4% | -20.1% | -15.1% | -1.8% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -222.0% | +2.7% | +5.9% | -13.9% |
| 2021-02-12 | miss | -0.12 | -0.27 | -128.5% | -5.0% | -3.6% | +2.4% |
| 2020-12-17 | beat | -0.24 | -0.12 | +49.5% | +0.0% | +4.4% | +64.2% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | -1.03 | -0.83 | +19.8% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +57.7% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | -1.06 | -0.81 | +23.5% | +2.5% | +3.0% | -12.3% |
| 2020-02-10 | beat | -1.14 | -0.95 | +16.5% | -6.6% | -5.1% | -23.1% |
| 2019-12-16 | miss | -1.70 | -5.90 | -247.1% | +1.7% | -0.8% | -11.0% |
Not investment advice.
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