CM

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce $116.48 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +2.0% median, 64% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 32
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.83 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$109.4B market cap (#224 US) $77M/day volume 22% volatility +41% 1-year -7% from ATH
52-week range · 81% of the way up · -7% from the high
$81.87$124.86

Congressional trades in CM Full tracker →

1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Apr 15, 2019.

SELL NT Nicholas Van Taylor · traded Mar 25, 2019 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, before open, in 31 days) · EPS est. 2.55.

1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+7.5%
Biggest drop
-7.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-27 beat 2.52 2.73 +8.2% +0.5% -2.8% +0.0%
2026-05-28 beat 2.45 2.54 +3.8% +0.3% -5.1% -5.5%
2026-02-26 beat 2.39 2.76 +15.4% +2.7% +3.0% -0.5%
2025-12-04 beat 2.07 2.20 +6.3% -0.2% +4.3% +6.7%
2025-08-28 beat 2.00 2.16 +8.0% +2.8% +2.3% +4.0%
2025-05-29 beat 1.90 2.05 +7.9% +2.3% -0.1% +1.2%
2025-02-27 beat 1.99 2.20 +10.8% +1.7% -0.9% -6.1%
2024-12-05 beat 1.78 1.91 +7.1% +1.7% +4.7% +4.2%
2024-08-29 beat 1.74 1.93 +11.0% +2.7% +5.5% +8.8%
2024-05-30 beat 1.64 1.75 +6.8% +3.4% +7.5% +4.6%
2024-02-29 beat 1.67 1.81 +8.5% +2.1% +2.2% +6.8%
2023-11-30 beat 1.53 1.57 +2.9% +1.6% +5.2% +8.6%
2023-08-31 miss 1.68 1.52 -9.8% -2.5% -3.1% -4.7%
2023-05-25 beat 1.63 1.70 +4.1% +0.6% +1.8% +4.4%
2023-02-24 beat 1.72 1.94 +13.0% -1.0% +2.1% +2.6%
2022-12-01 miss 1.72 1.39 -19.4% -1.6% -7.6% -11.0%
2022-08-25 beat 1.83 1.85 +1.3% +0.7% +0.1% -7.5%
2022-05-26 beat 1.72 1.77 +3.0% +0.8% -1.9% +2.0%
2022-02-25 beat 1.84 2.04 +11.0% +3.2% +6.6% +3.8%
2021-12-02 miss 1.76 1.69 -4.5% -0.1% -2.7% +1.3%
2021-08-26 beat 1.70 1.97 +15.8% +0.4% -2.9% -3.4%
2021-05-27 beat 1.53 1.80 +17.0% +1.0% +3.8% +6.4%
2021-02-25 beat 1.40 1.79 +27.7% +0.7% -0.7% +1.5%
2020-12-03 beat 1.26 1.40 +10.3% +0.1% +0.7% +3.1%
2020-08-27 beat 1.09 1.36 +24.1% +0.8% +2.2% +2.6%
2020-05-28 miss 0.86 0.47 -45.2% +0.3% -1.8% +6.7%
2020-02-26 beat 1.50 1.62 +8.1% +0.5% +1.1% -2.5%
2019-12-05 miss 1.53 1.42 -7.3% -3.3% -5.0% -4.3%
2019-08-22 beat 1.53 1.55 +1.3% +1.8% +2.3% +3.6%
2019-05-22 miss 1.49 1.49 -0.6% -0.9% -4.5% -9.0%
2019-02-28 miss 1.54 1.51 -2.3% -1.6% -2.7% -4.4%
2018-11-29 miss 1.52 1.50 -1.3% -1.8% -3.4% -7.8%
2018-08-23 beat 1.48 1.54 +4.3% +0.0% -0.1% +1.0%
2018-05-23 beat 1.41 1.48 +4.6% -0.8% -1.9% -4.3%
2018-02-22 beat 1.42 1.59 +12.1% +2.3% +0.3% -0.8%
2017-11-30 beat 1.30 1.41 +8.1% +1.0% +2.8% +4.2%
2017-08-24 beat 1.33 1.39 +4.1% +1.1% -1.7% -2.2%
2017-05-25 beat 1.29 1.32 +2.7% +0.7% -1.4% -1.2%
2017-02-23 beat 1.30 1.45 +11.3% +2.0% +1.3% -1.2%
2016-12-01 beat 1.24 1.30 +4.8% +1.3% +3.4% +7.7%
2016-08-25 beat 1.17 1.34 +13.6% +0.8% +1.2% +1.1%
2016-05-26 beat 1.16 1.20 +3.5% +1.5% -0.7% -0.4%
2016-02-25 beat 1.19 1.27 +7.1% +1.8% +3.6% +8.1%
2015-12-03 beat 1.17 1.18 +1.0% +0.7% -2.1% -9.4%
2015-08-27 beat 1.15 1.23 +6.2% +2.8% +6.4% +5.9%
2015-05-28 beat 1.12 1.14 +1.8% +0.8% +0.9% -0.3%
2015-02-26 beat 1.14 1.18 +3.9% +1.8% +2.4% +1.0%
2014-08-28 beat 1.11 1.12 +0.5% -1.0% -2.0% +0.4%
2014-05-29 beat 1.01 1.09 +6.9% -0.4% -0.9% -3.0%
2014-02-27 beat 1.07 1.16 +7.6% +0.4% +1.0% +5.2%
2013-12-05 beat 1.08 1.11 +3.2% +0.0% -0.9% -0.1%
2013-08-29 beat 1.07 1.15 +7.1% +0.1% +2.1% +3.1%
2013-05-30 beat 1.04 1.06 +1.9% +0.5% -1.0% -3.2%
2013-02-28 beat 1.04 1.08 +3.1% -1.0% -1.6% -1.4%
2012-12-06 beat 0.99 1.02 +2.8% +0.0% -0.4% +2.0%
2012-08-30 beat 0.98 1.03 +5.2% +0.2% -1.7% +2.6%
2012-05-31 beat 0.94 1.00 +6.8% +1.1% +1.8% +1.3%
2012-03-08 miss 0.96 0.95 -1.4% +1.0% +0.7% +1.5%
2011-12-01 beat 0.91 0.93 +1.5% +0.4% -0.5% -2.1%
2011-08-31 beat 0.91 1.01 +10.9% +3.3% +4.3% +3.2%

Not investment advice.