CMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.6%
Next 1 week
+2.1%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -3.1% median,
29% of the last 41 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +1.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.82 +4.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$5M/day volume
58% volatility
-30% 1-year
52-week range · 24% of the way up · -40% from the high
$15.85$34.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, before open, in 8 days) · EPS est. 0.39.
1-day std dev
7.0%
Finished up
36%
Biggest pop
+7.6%
Biggest drop
-16.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 11 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.54 | 1.36 | +151.8% | +1.1% | +4.5% | +7.8% |
| 2026-03-23 | miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -5.1% | -1.9% | +3.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -1.3% | +4.1% | +5.0% | +5.7% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +1.6% | +0.3% | -8.5% | +5.2% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | 0.19 | 0.45 | +134.7% | -3.8% | -0.1% | +27.8% |
| 2025-03-31 | beat | 0.16 | 0.30 | +85.6% | -0.1% | +7.6% | -1.3% |
| 2021-03-22 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.8% | +3.7% | -3.0% | -4.7% |
| 2020-11-12 | miss | 0.68 | 0.34 | -49.9% | +2.7% | -4.6% | -6.8% |
| 2020-08-13 | miss | 0.46 | 0.37 | -20.0% | -5.6% | -4.8% | -9.1% |
| 2020-05-12 | beat | 0.34 | 0.57 | +68.5% | +1.1% | -3.9% | +7.6% |
| 2020-03-18 | beat | 0.54 | 0.75 | +38.1% | +0.0% | -16.4% | +9.0% |
Not investment advice.
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