CMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+4.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.2% median,
68% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.58 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$8M/day volume
50% volatility
+32% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 36% of the way up · -34% from the high
$16.40$34.50
Congressional trades in CMP Full tracker →
6 members · 5 buys / 6 sells · $25K–$200K disclosed · latest filing Nov 17, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-23 (Monday, after close, in 25 days) · EPS est. -0.03.
1-day std dev
8.3%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+26.2%
Biggest drop
-20.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.06 | -0.14 | -128.2% | -5.9% | -14.6% | -12.5% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.6% | -2.6% | +6.7% | +13.9% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.26 | 0.43 | +68.3% | -1.4% | -14.8% | -7.8% |
| 2025-12-08 | beat | -0.23 | -0.17 | +25.3% | -4.3% | -13.8% | -8.0% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -0.13 | -0.39 | -196.9% | -3.4% | -10.7% | -12.3% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | — | 0.63 | +14250.8% | +5.4% | +26.2% | +37.0% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | -0.05 | -0.55 | -1000.0% | -5.1% | -5.8% | -1.9% |
| 2024-12-16 | miss | -0.52 | -0.77 | -48.1% | -5.2% | +1.4% | -14.8% |
| 2024-09-17 | miss | -0.65 | -1.01 | -55.5% | +10.3% | +21.1% | +19.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.20 | 1.49 | +658.1% | -5.4% | +0.7% | -6.2% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | 0.26 | 0.05 | -80.5% | -6.2% | -5.8% | +0.8% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | -0.10 | -0.06 | +42.0% | -3.2% | -4.1% | -0.9% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.12 | 1.01 | +964.6% | +1.4% | -5.7% | -20.7% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 0.61 | -0.46 | -175.3% | -2.1% | +1.3% | +9.5% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 0.55 | — | -100.0% | -3.7% | -14.7% | -12.1% |
| 2022-11-29 | beat | -0.25 | 0.01 | +104.0% | +1.4% | +8.1% | +8.3% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.29 | -0.16 | +44.7% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +16.1% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.90 | 0.33 | -63.5% | -3.0% | -18.3% | -26.6% |
| 2022-02-08 | miss | 0.47 | 0.38 | -19.9% | -2.8% | -6.8% | -1.5% |
| 2021-11-15 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -32.1% | -9.1% | -20.8% | -26.6% |
| 2021-08-13 | miss | -0.07 | -0.49 | -617.1% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -3.6% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.63 | 0.95 | +50.8% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -3.3% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | 1.34 | 0.62 | -53.8% | -5.0% | -7.7% | -0.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 0.44 | 0.07 | -84.2% | -5.7% | -4.9% | +0.1% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | -0.18 | 0.04 | +121.9% | +4.2% | +7.4% | +12.8% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.57 | 0.80 | +39.6% | +6.7% | +1.0% | -7.5% |
| 2020-02-10 | miss | 1.82 | 1.63 | -10.5% | +2.5% | +11.0% | +8.3% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.71 | 0.36 | -49.1% | -7.3% | -7.0% | -6.7% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | -0.14 | -0.29 | -107.3% | -2.7% | -6.4% | -10.2% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | — | 0.22 | +28671.4% | +0.7% | -3.3% | -7.1% |
| 2019-02-11 | miss | 1.71 | 1.41 | -17.7% | -5.9% | +0.4% | +4.0% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -7.0% | +1.5% | +6.0% | +7.3% |
| 2018-08-06 | miss | -0.15 | -0.23 | -57.8% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -9.4% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -4.1% | -0.9% | +4.1% | +3.5% |
| 2018-02-13 | beat | 1.49 | 1.66 | +11.3% | -1.5% | -2.2% | -10.5% |
| 2017-10-30 | miss | 0.74 | 0.65 | -12.1% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +0.1% |
| 2017-08-07 | miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -123.5% | -0.6% | -2.1% | -5.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +17.0% | +2.5% | +4.3% | +8.4% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 1.09 | 1.35 | +23.7% | +3.2% | -1.3% | -2.2% |
| 2016-10-24 | miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -10.2% | +2.9% | -0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2016-07-25 | beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +34.8% | -0.8% | +2.6% | -1.2% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 1.30 | 1.46 | +12.4% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +3.5% |
| 2016-02-08 | beat | 1.65 | 1.72 | +4.3% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -3.4% |
| 2015-10-27 | miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.3% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +3.0% |
| 2015-07-27 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +28.6% | +0.5% | +5.1% | -1.3% |
| 2015-04-27 | miss | 1.80 | 1.79 | -0.4% | +1.2% | +4.6% | +0.1% |
| 2015-02-09 | beat | 1.97 | 2.38 | +21.1% | +5.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.5% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +2.7% |
| 2014-07-28 | miss | 0.26 | 0.13 | -49.0% | -1.7% | -7.6% | -8.8% |
| 2014-04-28 | beat | 1.42 | 1.49 | +4.9% | +1.5% | +5.0% | +8.8% |
| 2014-02-10 | miss | 1.79 | 1.65 | -7.7% | -4.7% | -5.6% | -1.2% |
| 2013-10-28 | miss | 0.56 | 0.46 | -18.5% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -3.5% |
| 2013-07-29 | miss | 0.40 | 0.32 | -20.0% | -13.4% | -17.8% | -15.3% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 1.21 | 1.38 | +13.7% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +7.1% |
| 2013-02-06 | miss | 1.05 | 1.02 | -2.7% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2012-10-29 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.2% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.5% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -3.2% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 1.57 | 1.48 | -5.9% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +4.7% | -1.7% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 0.64 | 1.03 | +61.9% | +3.7% | +6.6% | +3.1% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google