CNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.4% median,
50% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.03 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$14.8B market cap (#701 US)
$193M/day volume
43% volatility
+14% 1-year
-34% from ATH
52-week range · 51% of the way up · -18% from the high
$9.00$14.46
Congressional trades in CNH Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 2 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Sep 12, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, before open, in 8 days) · EPS est. 0.10.
1-day std dev
4.6%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+7.9%
Biggest drop
-10.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +22.4% | +11.3% | +5.4% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | — | 0.01 | +190.7% | +2.1% | +6.2% | +7.5% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +74.7% | -6.0% | +2.7% | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | miss | 0.14 | 0.08 | -41.5% | -11.1% | -5.8% | -2.0% |
| 2025-08-01 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.6% | +0.2% | -3.8% | -4.1% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -1.8% | +3.4% | +7.3% | +9.0% |
| 2025-02-04 | miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -20.8% | -1.0% | +1.4% | -2.2% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -13.9% | -8.9% | -8.3% | -6.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | +4.2% | +4.7% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +26.1% | +2.9% | +3.1% | +4.2% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.5% | +4.1% | +6.2% | +0.9% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -3.4% | -10.1% | -10.6% | -10.1% |
| 2023-07-28 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +7.1% | -3.5% | -6.1% | -8.6% |
| 2023-05-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.6% | -2.2% | +4.2% | +3.2% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.5% | -1.3% | -8.8% | -10.6% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +26.1% | +5.5% | +5.5% | +12.7% |
| 2022-07-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +16.1% | +1.9% | +6.3% | +3.4% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.23 | 0.28 | +19.2% | +2.5% | +2.3% | -5.3% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +19.5% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +8.6% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.21 | 0.36 | +70.6% | -3.1% | -0.2% | +2.8% |
| 2021-07-30 | beat | 0.27 | 0.42 | +57.5% | +1.7% | -1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.32 | +128.2% | +2.7% | +3.6% | +6.3% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.14 | 0.30 | +111.2% | +2.0% | +0.9% | +5.0% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +290.2% | +5.7% | +6.3% | +11.9% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.10 | -0.07 | +30.0% | -3.5% | -3.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.06 | -0.06 | -192.7% | +0.9% | -4.3% | -1.4% |
| 2020-02-07 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -3.7% | -5.1% | -7.0% | -4.9% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +1.0% | -2.4% | -5.3% | -3.7% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.3% | +2.2% | -0.9% | -7.8% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +21.8% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -10.3% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +42.3% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +25.5% | -3.6% | -0.8% | -7.6% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +34.8% | +6.0% | +7.9% | +10.3% |
| 2018-04-27 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +50.0% | +5.2% | +4.6% | +6.3% |
| 2018-01-30 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -11.0% | -3.0% | -2.5% | -4.9% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +45.7% | +4.3% | +5.0% | +6.7% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +19.9% | -3.1% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +20.7% | -1.5% | -0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +14.4% | -1.2% | -1.4% | +5.8% |
| 2016-10-31 | beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +2.0% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +45.4% | +8.9% | +7.2% | +4.5% |
| 2016-04-29 | miss | 0.05 | — | -100.0% | -0.7% | +3.9% | -4.8% |
| 2016-01-29 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +7.4% | +0.8% | +2.1% | +7.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.12 | 0.03 | -74.7% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -33.4% | -6.9% | -4.6% | -0.6% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.09 | 0.02 | -77.4% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -3.2% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -6.7% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +6.1% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +25.5% | +3.2% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +35.7% | -4.0% | +1.7% | -7.6% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -13.3% | -4.1% | -2.2% | -8.6% |
| 2014-01-30 | miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -22.3% | -2.3% | -1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.31 | 0.24 | -22.6% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -7.6% |
Not investment advice.
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