CNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +4.1% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.71 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.2%
$7M/day volume
33% volatility
-2% 1-year
-62% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -5% from the high
$10.46$18.42
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.19.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+15.1%
Biggest drop
-11.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -0.42 | 0.86 | +304.8% | +2.8% | +1.3% | +2.3% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | -0.44 | -0.70 | -59.1% | +7.2% | -2.9% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-23 | miss | -0.37 | -1.93 | -414.7% | -4.5% | -7.3% | -7.1% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -0.29 | -1.06 | -259.3% | +5.2% | -10.2% | -12.2% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -0.28 | -3.75 | -1263.6% | -3.1% | -11.4% | -9.8% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | -0.40 | -1.81 | -348.8% | -3.2% | -5.3% | -3.3% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | -0.29 | -0.74 | -152.3% | -4.2% | -0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.22 | -0.22 | -1.5% | +3.4% | -2.8% | -5.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.18 | -2.49 | -1309.4% | -4.8% | -4.1% | -4.2% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.18 | -1.27 | -618.9% | -0.7% | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | -0.55 | -0.83 | -51.8% | +13.2% | +10.6% | +8.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -0.33 | -2.18 | -560.6% | -1.7% | -3.0% | +2.7% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | 0.09 | -1.16 | -1388.9% | -2.5% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -266.7% | -1.8% | -2.1% | +4.8% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | -0.04 | 0.35 | +975.0% | +5.0% | +2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | -0.12 | 0.69 | +675.0% | +7.6% | +11.7% | +11.7% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | 0.18 | -3.15 | -1900.0% | +1.1% | -4.0% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | 0.19 | -2.88 | -1615.8% | +0.6% | -6.6% | -3.8% |
| 2022-02-17 | miss | 0.06 | -0.26 | -513.9% | -3.6% | -4.9% | -5.5% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 0.09 | 0.45 | +427.9% | -1.2% | -3.1% | -5.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.75 | +7429.0% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +5.0% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -0.14 | -2.55 | -1658.6% | -2.6% | -2.4% | -1.7% |
| 2021-02-22 | beat | -0.09 | 0.56 | +726.3% | +0.1% | +2.4% | +7.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | — | -0.16 | — | +0.3% | +3.5% | +0.1% | |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | 0.02 | 0.96 | +4690.5% | -0.9% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.05 | 1.30 | +2497.2% | +4.0% | +5.2% | +3.1% |
| 2020-02-21 | beat | -0.05 | 0.88 | +1856.4% | +4.1% | -0.9% | -12.1% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.29 | 0.64 | +316.9% | +9.0% | +15.1% | +24.6% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.09 | 0.27 | +400.0% | +3.5% | +3.1% | -3.8% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.20 | 0.05 | -75.7% | +1.6% | +0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2019-03-14 | beat | -0.09 | 0.14 | +255.6% | +3.2% | +1.6% | +3.3% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -0.02 | -0.14 | -612.3% | -3.7% | -5.8% | -1.8% |
| 2018-08-13 | miss | -0.18 | -0.26 | -44.4% | -6.6% | -3.7% | +1.0% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.10 | -0.02 | +80.0% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -3.6% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | -0.47 | -0.07 | +85.1% | +2.2% | +1.1% | +1.0% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google