CPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+4.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +1.7% median,
55% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 85
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.81 +4.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$43M/day volume
44% volatility
+11% 1-year
-16% from ATH
52-week range · 56% of the way up · -14% from the high
$107.44$160.47
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-18 (Wednesday, after close, in 15 days) · EPS est. 3.76.
1-day std dev
7.8%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+19.6%
Biggest drop
-15.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 1.86 | 1.67 | -10.4% | -5.5% | -5.8% | -9.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | 4.42 | 5.16 | +16.7% | +10.4% | +17.9% | +19.3% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 4.43 | 4.18 | -5.7% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -5.5% |
| 2025-11-19 | beat | 4.00 | 4.20 | +5.1% | -2.2% | -10.5% | -3.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 3.24 | 3.61 | +11.4% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 4.05 | 4.28 | +5.6% | +1.5% | +4.2% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 3.75 | 3.99 | +6.3% | +3.9% | +3.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-11-20 | beat | 3.43 | 3.50 | +2.1% | -8.3% | -12.3% | -11.8% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 2.82 | 2.88 | +2.2% | -1.8% | +5.4% | +9.0% |
| 2024-05-15 | beat | 3.33 | 4.19 | +25.9% | +3.0% | -0.3% | -10.4% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 3.89 | 4.47 | +15.0% | +1.5% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2023-11-15 | beat | 3.82 | 4.39 | +14.9% | +3.1% | +2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 3.38 | 3.92 | +16.1% | +0.7% | -5.4% | -10.0% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | 3.25 | 3.99 | +22.6% | +4.8% | +10.6% | +11.3% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 4.03 | 4.49 | +11.3% | +1.0% | -3.2% | -5.3% |
| 2022-11-16 | beat | 2.68 | 2.91 | +8.5% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +15.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.32 | +31.1% | +4.6% | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| 2022-05-11 | beat | 0.25 | 0.70 | +182.3% | +3.5% | +2.9% | +2.7% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 1.06 | 1.98 | +87.5% | -3.1% | +2.8% | +6.0% |
| 2021-11-17 | beat | -0.09 | 0.70 | +842.4% | +10.9% | +8.9% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -1.20 | -0.38 | +68.4% | +5.0% | +10.7% | +10.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -2.38 | -2.23 | +6.5% | -0.9% | +4.5% | -2.5% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | -2.17 | -2.00 | +7.8% | +0.4% | -1.3% | +8.7% |
| 2020-11-18 | miss | -2.66 | -2.86 | -7.7% | -0.7% | +3.1% | +13.5% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -3.90 | -2.70 | +30.8% | -0.7% | +9.1% | +12.8% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 1.81 | 1.75 | -3.4% | -0.1% | +5.7% | -2.4% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 2.03 | 2.17 | +7.1% | +3.8% | +1.9% | +0.0% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | 2.24 | 2.45 | +9.5% | +3.4% | +1.1% | -1.8% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 1.03 | 1.20 | +16.6% | +8.4% | +10.8% | +1.7% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 1.58 | 2.11 | +33.2% | +8.5% | +19.6% | +15.4% |
| 2019-02-13 | miss | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.6% | -6.5% | -0.6% | -5.8% |
| 2018-11-14 | miss | 1.46 | 1.36 | -6.9% | -14.5% | +3.0% | +0.7% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 1.29 | 1.18 | -8.4% | -6.5% | -14.6% | -11.9% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 2.78 | 3.22 | +15.8% | +4.2% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 2.34 | 2.36 | +0.8% | +1.3% | +3.4% | +2.5% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 2.16 | 2.38 | +10.0% | +5.2% | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 1.48 | 1.48 | -0.2% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 2.34 | 2.43 | +3.7% | -2.8% | -4.7% | -13.3% |
| 2017-02-15 | 1.42 | 1.42 | — | +1.1% | +6.2% | +6.7% | |
| 2016-11-08 | miss | 1.32 | 1.30 | -1.5% | +0.5% | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.30 | 0.51 | +71.4% | +5.4% | +16.5% | +21.9% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 1.46 | 1.66 | +13.9% | -7.5% | -14.2% | -15.1% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.2% | +5.4% | +11.8% | +11.7% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | 0.86 | 0.85 | -0.7% | -1.0% | +5.7% | +16.0% |
| 2015-08-12 | miss | 0.98 | 0.93 | -5.5% | -9.6% | -13.1% | -23.1% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 2.38 | 2.41 | +1.2% | -7.7% | -13.1% | -14.2% |
| 2015-02-11 | beat | 2.06 | 2.83 | +37.2% | +3.9% | +6.4% | +3.5% |
| 2014-11-19 | beat | 2.02 | 2.25 | +11.4% | -0.1% | -5.7% | -4.4% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 2.17 | 2.61 | +20.5% | -11.4% | -15.6% | -16.7% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 3.07 | 3.46 | +12.8% | +3.1% | +4.6% | +3.8% |
| 2014-02-12 | beat | 2.59 | 3.21 | +24.1% | +6.3% | +5.5% | +2.9% |
| 2013-11-12 | beat | 2.58 | 2.62 | +1.7% | -0.2% | +1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 1.73 | 1.92 | +11.1% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -4.9% |
| 2013-05-13 | beat | 2.31 | 2.80 | +21.2% | +9.9% | +7.9% | +5.8% |
| 2013-02-06 | miss | 2.18 | 2.01 | -7.7% | -4.6% | -10.8% | -6.6% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 2.14 | 2.20 | +2.6% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 1.37 | 1.32 | -3.9% | -0.2% | -3.6% | -1.9% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | 1.97 | 2.04 | +3.8% | +3.6% | +10.1% | +6.4% |
| 2012-02-08 | miss | 1.95 | 1.93 | -1.1% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +7.8% |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | 1.66 | 2.03 | +22.2% | -0.7% | -3.9% | -8.6% |
Not investment advice.
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