CRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +3.1% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 7
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.57%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.26 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.1%
$4M/day volume
78% volatility
-76% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -70% from the high
$3.87$12.88
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-16 (Monday, before open, in 14 days) · EPS est. -1.27.
1-day std dev
6.6%
Finished up
34%
Biggest pop
+19.2%
Biggest drop
-16.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -1.24 | -1.81 | -46.3% | -3.4% | +1.8% | +5.3% |
| 2026-05-12 | miss | -1.22 | -1.23 | -0.8% | +1.9% | +3.5% | -17.1% |
| 2026-03-09 | beat | -1.58 | -1.25 | +20.7% | +2.1% | +19.2% | +18.7% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -1.71 | -1.90 | -11.3% | -0.7% | +7.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | -1.33 | -1.44 | -8.4% | +1.7% | -4.7% | -4.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -1.07 | -1.39 | -29.6% | -1.6% | -15.8% | -2.2% |
| 2025-03-11 | beat | -1.26 | -0.78 | +38.0% | +4.6% | +1.3% | -6.8% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.95 | -1.15 | -20.7% | +2.1% | -2.1% | -7.2% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -1.19 | -0.90 | +24.3% | +0.6% | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -1.09 | -0.83 | +23.9% | -2.2% | +2.4% | +10.7% |
| 2024-03-12 | beat | -2.36 | -1.81 | +23.3% | +4.8% | +16.5% | +11.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -2.06 | -2.27 | -10.2% | -7.1% | -16.7% | -23.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -3.10 | -2.05 | +33.9% | -2.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -4.09 | -4.24 | -3.7% | +10.4% | +5.0% | +16.3% |
| 2023-03-07 | miss | -2.10 | -2.61 | -24.3% | +0.7% | -6.7% | +7.7% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -1.65 | -2.10 | -27.3% | +0.8% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -1.80 | -3.30 | -83.3% | +3.1% | +0.0% | -15.7% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -2.55 | -2.40 | +5.9% | +4.7% | -8.1% | +27.9% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | -3.22 | -2.40 | +25.6% | +2.2% | +6.9% | +19.5% |
| 2021-11-12 | beat | -3.30 | -0.60 | +81.8% | +0.0% | +1.0% | -11.2% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | -3.75 | -4.50 | -20.0% | -0.8% | -5.3% | -15.0% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -4.80 | -4.20 | +12.5% | -0.7% | -6.7% | +14.1% |
| 2021-03-15 | beat | -8.10 | -3.00 | +63.0% | +3.4% | -2.6% | +0.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -12.18 | -12.90 | -5.9% | -2.6% | +0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -11.25 | -15.60 | -38.7% | +1.1% | -11.5% | +2.6% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -12.70 | -12.90 | -1.6% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | -10.74 | -12.30 | -14.5% | -15.0% | -7.5% | +6.1% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -10.90 | -9.60 | +11.9% | -0.7% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -10.68 | 0.90 | +108.4% | +10.5% | +0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -4.45 | -12.90 | -189.9% | -1.7% | -8.3% | -3.6% |
| 2019-03-12 | miss | -8.00 | -9.30 | -16.2% | -1.7% | +0.5% | +23.9% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -6.65 | -7.80 | -17.3% | -0.3% | -9.8% | -20.5% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -6.45 | -6.30 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -4.35 | -6.30 | -44.8% | +0.0% | -8.0% | +3.8% |
| 2018-03-12 | miss | -4.62 | -6.30 | -36.4% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -0.7% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | -4.80 | -4.20 | +12.5% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | -5.60 | -4.50 | +19.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2017-05-09 | -4.80 | -4.80 | — | -2.4% | -3.2% | +5.6% | |
| 2017-03-08 | miss | -4.10 | -5.40 | -31.7% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2016-11-10 | miss | -3.30 | -3.60 | -9.1% | -3.3% | -3.3% | +14.9% |
| 2016-08-12 | miss | -2.25 | -3.30 | -46.7% | +0.0% | -4.3% | +22.4% |
| 2016-05-13 | -2.40 | -2.40 | — | -0.9% | +1.3% | +8.7% | |
| 2016-03-28 | beat | -2.17 | -1.80 | +17.2% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +6.1% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | -2.40 | -1.80 | +25.0% | +0.6% | +0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2015-08-13 | miss | -1.80 | -3.00 | -66.7% | -4.7% | -7.6% | +4.1% |
| 2015-05-13 | miss | -1.50 | -1.80 | -20.0% | +3.8% | +0.0% | -3.5% |
| 2015-02-10 | miss | -0.90 | -1.80 | -100.0% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
Not investment advice.
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