CRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-1.2%
Next 1 month
-2.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -4.9% median,
34% of the last 38 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 34
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.49 -1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$34M/day volume
54% volatility
-17% 1-year
52-week range · 15% of the way up · -48% from the high
$12.12$28.10
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.04.
1-day std dev
6.0%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+9.9%
Biggest drop
-14.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 32 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +201.5% | -2.9% | +0.7% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -34.4% | -5.7% | -13.5% | -16.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +38.1% | -3.8% | -6.1% | -2.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +64.7% | -2.5% | +4.3% | +30.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +44.5% | -1.8% | -14.0% | -22.7% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +8.2% | +0.8% | +3.3% | +23.5% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 0.03 | 0.16 | +509.3% | +8.2% | +9.9% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -3.5% | -0.8% | -7.0% | +5.2% |
| 2024-07-30 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -22.8% | -3.8% | -7.2% | -14.1% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -0.07 | -0.03 | +56.6% | +2.8% | +0.9% | +5.4% |
| 2024-02-13 | miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -20.7% | -2.0% | -1.0% | +12.9% |
| 2023-10-30 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -24.1% | -0.1% | +4.6% | -1.6% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | 0.06 | — | -100.0% | -7.0% | -7.6% | -1.1% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -2.5% | -3.7% | -8.9% | -11.2% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.83 | 1.05 | +26.1% | +2.9% | +5.8% | -2.8% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +0.9% | +2.2% | -1.8% | -4.7% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.5% | -2.5% | +1.7% | +0.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.6% | +1.6% | -4.5% | -21.5% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -9.9% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +11.2% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -1.2% | -5.9% | -2.8% | -6.6% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +27.5% | -2.2% | -3.7% | +2.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.15 | 0.25 | +63.7% | +2.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2021-02-16 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +53.9% | +1.2% | +9.2% | +6.7% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -601.2% | -9.1% | -10.1% | -8.3% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -22.3% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -0.2% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +66.9% | +4.3% | -2.7% | -40.8% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +7.6% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -6.5% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +41.5% | +2.3% | +7.1% | -2.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -34.6% | -3.7% | -5.8% | -11.5% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -22.8% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -7.4% |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -1.7% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +7.2% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -0.03 | 0.01 | +129.0% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +7.9% |
Not investment advice.
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