CRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+4.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.6% median,
78% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.89 +4.9% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.0%
$78M/day volume
58% volatility
-18% 1-year
-75% from ATH
52-week range · 46% of the way up · -18% from the high
$44.12$65.98
Congressional trades in CRSP Full tracker →
3 members · 3 buys / 4 sells · $182K–$430K disclosed · latest filing Oct 5, 2021.
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 11 days) · EPS est. -1.06.
1-day std dev
6.6%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+25.2%
Biggest drop
-6.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | -1.18 | -0.94 | +20.6% | +2.0% | +7.1% | +9.1% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | -1.23 | -1.28 | -3.7% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -1.4% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -1.23 | -1.37 | -11.7% | +1.7% | +8.5% | +10.3% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -1.29 | -1.17 | +9.2% | +5.3% | -1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -1.40 | -1.29 | +7.8% | -8.9% | -6.7% | -5.0% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -1.28 | -1.58 | -23.8% | +4.1% | +3.3% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | -1.19 | -0.44 | +62.9% | +2.7% | +9.3% | +27.3% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | -1.40 | -1.01 | +28.1% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | -1.43 | -1.49 | -4.4% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -2.9% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -1.46 | -1.43 | +2.4% | -2.2% | +0.5% | +4.5% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 0.05 | 1.10 | +2212.9% | +4.8% | +4.7% | +11.4% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | -1.95 | -1.41 | +27.7% | +1.7% | +13.6% | +7.2% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -2.10 | -0.98 | +53.4% | +1.9% | +9.7% | +0.7% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -1.64 | -0.67 | +59.1% | +0.9% | +13.3% | +10.3% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | -2.27 | -1.41 | +37.9% | +2.5% | +8.0% | +2.3% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | -2.24 | -2.24 | -0.1% | -0.1% | +5.1% | -5.9% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -2.21 | -2.40 | -8.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -1.97 | -2.32 | -17.6% | +2.9% | +9.4% | +25.7% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | -1.78 | -1.84 | -3.4% | -2.2% | +1.6% | -6.2% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | -1.76 | -1.67 | +5.3% | -1.3% | -4.0% | -9.2% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 3.12 | 9.44 | +202.6% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +14.9% |
| 2021-04-27 | miss | -1.47 | -1.51 | -2.5% | -2.4% | +1.9% | -14.4% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | -1.28 | -1.52 | -19.2% | -3.3% | -3.4% | -14.0% |
| 2020-10-28 | miss | -1.19 | -1.32 | -11.2% | -5.0% | -3.5% | -2.7% |
| 2020-07-27 | miss | -0.99 | -1.30 | -31.6% | -0.9% | -6.2% | +2.7% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | -1.04 | -1.15 | -10.3% | +1.4% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 0.05 | 0.51 | +839.6% | +5.5% | +0.6% | -8.2% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 1.79 | 2.40 | +33.8% | +2.5% | +12.5% | +22.4% |
| 2019-07-29 | miss | -0.90 | -1.01 | -12.8% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -7.4% |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | -0.90 | -0.93 | -3.5% | -1.4% | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2019-02-25 | miss | -0.78 | -0.92 | -18.5% | +10.4% | +25.2% | +26.0% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.74 | -1.07 | -44.1% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -6.3% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | -0.64 | -0.82 | -28.0% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.67 | -0.62 | +7.5% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +11.7% |
| 2018-03-08 | beat | -0.67 | — | +100.0% | +3.7% | +5.6% | -3.6% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -0.60 | -0.62 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -5.5% | +2.7% |
| 2017-08-10 | beat | -0.62 | -0.56 | +9.3% | +3.7% | +8.0% | +3.0% |
| 2017-05-11 | beat | -0.65 | -0.54 | +16.7% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -7.3% |
| 2017-03-10 | miss | -0.49 | -0.62 | -27.7% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2016-11-22 | beat | -0.38 | -0.37 | +2.9% | +1.6% | -3.5% | +4.9% |
Posted about CRSP
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Mon, 12 Oct
ARK bought 284,019 shares of CMPS for ARKG. The trade: 0.16% of that fund, on 12 October 2026 — roughly $3.3m at that day’s close. The entry: CMPS's…
TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Wed, 09 Sep
ARK bought 38,304 shares of META for ARKK on 9 September 2026: 0.38% of the fund — roughly $25.0m at that day’s close. The entry above is META’s…
TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Tue, 08 Sep
ARK bought 32,561 shares of CBRS for ARKK on 8 September 2026: 0.10% of the fund — roughly $6.5m at that day’s close. The entry above is CBRS’s close…
Not investment advice.
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