CRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -8.5% median,
29% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.88 +4.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$778290/day volume
118% volatility
-77% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -84% from the high
$1.56$10.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.50.
1-day std dev
12.4%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+40.5%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 12 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | beat | -0.86 | -0.64 | +25.9% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -9.1% |
| 2026-05-15 | miss | -0.79 | -0.86 | -8.5% | -0.5% | -8.5% | -18.6% |
| 2026-03-13 | miss | -0.70 | -0.88 | -25.4% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -5.4% |
| 2025-11-07 | miss | -0.64 | -0.84 | -31.6% | -2.3% | -0.3% | +18.6% |
| 2025-08-08 | miss | -0.62 | -0.70 | -13.3% | -0.4% | +5.5% | +8.4% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.62 | -0.56 | +10.2% | +3.3% | +7.2% | +3.5% |
| 2025-03-17 | miss | -0.63 | -0.80 | -26.1% | +9.8% | +40.5% | +66.3% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.41 | -0.55 | -33.3% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -17.0% |
| 2024-08-09 | beat | -0.29 | -0.27 | +6.9% | -3.9% | +7.5% | +51.5% |
| 2024-05-14 | miss | -0.32 | -0.41 | -28.1% | +3.9% | +0.1% | -23.0% |
| 2024-03-29 | miss | -0.29 | -0.95 | -227.6% | +5.7% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.95 | 0.65 | +168.4% | +1.5% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
Not investment advice.
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