CTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.9% median,
74% of the last 38 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.44%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.33 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$10M/day volume
26% volatility
+35% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 63% of the way up · -14% from the high
$50.25$79.92
Congressional trades in CTBI Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing May 16, 2014.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-20 (Wednesday, before open, in 80 days) · EPS est. 1.62.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
67%
Biggest pop
+10.1%
Biggest drop
-9.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 1.65 | 1.43 | -13.2% | -4.6% | -9.3% | -7.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | beat | 1.52 | 1.64 | +7.7% | +2.2% | +3.8% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-15 | beat | 1.39 | 1.50 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +0.2% |
| 2026-01-21 | beat | 1.43 | 1.51 | +6.0% | +2.1% | +10.1% | +2.0% |
| 2025-10-15 | miss | 1.38 | 1.32 | -4.6% | -3.9% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 2025-07-16 | beat | 1.26 | 1.38 | +9.1% | +1.9% | +3.8% | +5.9% |
| 2025-04-16 | beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.8% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +4.9% |
| 2025-01-15 | beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.5% | +2.6% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| 2024-10-16 | beat | 1.15 | 1.23 | +7.4% | +1.5% | +3.2% | +3.0% |
| 2024-07-17 | beat | 1.03 | 1.09 | +5.3% | -2.3% | +3.3% | +4.2% |
| 2024-04-17 | beat | 0.98 | 1.04 | +5.8% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +9.7% |
| 2024-01-17 | miss | 1.08 | 1.04 | -3.7% | -2.3% | -1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2023-10-18 | beat | 1.01 | 1.15 | +13.9% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +1.9% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2023-04-19 | miss | 1.12 | 1.08 | -3.1% | -0.9% | +1.2% | -3.1% |
| 2023-01-18 | beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.9% | -0.2% | -7.7% | -9.9% |
| 2022-10-19 | miss | 1.16 | 1.08 | -6.5% | -1.4% | -0.6% | +6.4% |
| 2022-07-20 | beat | 1.11 | 1.14 | +3.2% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +3.8% |
| 2022-04-20 | beat | 0.96 | 1.11 | +16.2% | -0.3% | +2.5% | -1.9% |
| 2022-01-19 | beat | 1.07 | 1.08 | +1.4% | +0.7% | -1.8% | -2.5% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 1.16 | 1.19 | +3.0% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 1.11 | 1.34 | +20.7% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 1.00 | 1.33 | +33.0% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2021-01-20 | miss | 0.92 | 0.89 | -3.3% | -0.2% | -2.1% | -6.4% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.60 | 0.98 | +64.7% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +0.1% |
| 2020-07-15 | beat | 0.38 | 1.11 | +192.1% | +2.9% | +8.6% | +3.6% |
| 2020-04-22 | miss | 0.59 | 0.37 | -37.3% | +1.5% | -0.6% | +15.1% |
| 2020-01-22 | beat | 0.83 | 0.90 | +8.4% | +0.0% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.4% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2019-07-17 | beat | 0.85 | 1.03 | +20.7% | +3.0% | -2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2019-04-17 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.7% | +0.2% | +1.8% | -2.8% |
| 2019-01-16 | beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.1% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +1.2% |
| 2018-10-17 | beat | 0.84 | 0.91 | +7.9% | +0.5% | +2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2018-07-18 | miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.2% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2018-04-18 | beat | 0.79 | 0.89 | +13.1% | +5.2% | +2.3% | +5.9% |
| 2018-01-17 | miss | 0.75 | 0.72 | -3.6% | +1.3% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2017-10-18 | beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +9.1% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +8.4% |
| 2017-07-19 | miss | 0.68 | 0.65 | -4.4% | -0.1% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
| 2017-04-19 | miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -1.5% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +7.4% |
| 2017-01-18 | miss | 0.70 | 0.67 | -3.6% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -4.0% |
| 2016-10-19 | beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.4% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2016-07-20 | miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -2.9% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +4.3% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2016-01-20 | beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +5.0% | -0.7% | +4.8% | +7.1% |
| 2015-10-21 | miss | 0.68 | 0.64 | -5.9% | +0.3% | -3.1% | -0.9% |
| 2015-07-15 | beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +9.8% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +4.7% |
| 2015-04-15 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.3% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2015-01-21 | miss | 0.69 | 0.57 | -16.8% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -6.8% |
| 2014-10-15 | miss | 0.69 | 0.63 | -8.7% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -6.1% |
| 2014-07-16 | beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2014-04-16 | miss | 0.68 | 0.58 | -14.1% | +0.0% | -3.2% | -4.9% |
| 2014-01-15 | miss | 0.70 | 0.50 | -28.1% | -0.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +10.2% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2013-07-17 | beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.2% | +0.9% | -1.1% | +3.6% |
| 2013-04-17 | beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.2% | -0.6% | +1.4% | +5.7% |
| 2013-01-16 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +0.7% | +0.2% | -2.6% | -0.7% |
| 2012-10-17 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.3% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -4.6% |
| 2012-07-18 | beat | 0.60 | 0.72 | +20.6% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2012-04-18 | beat | 0.57 | 0.70 | +23.2% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2012-01-18 | 0.58 | 0.58 | — | +0.3% | +0.2% | +1.5% |
Not investment advice.
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