CTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.3%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+5.3%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.1% median,
40% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 37
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.41 +5.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$5M/day volume
67% volatility
-36% 1-year
-59% from ATH
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -59% from the high
$13.45$34.38
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.42.
1-day std dev
6.8%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+16.7%
Biggest drop
-6.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 13 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | miss | -0.11 | -0.17 | -45.0% | +2.7% | +3.7% | +2.7% |
| 2026-05-14 | miss | 0.85 | 0.27 | -67.8% | +0.1% | -6.3% | -18.8% |
| 2026-03-16 | miss | -1.03 | -1.81 | -75.7% | -0.4% | -2.6% | -26.7% |
| 2025-11-13 | beat | -0.13 | 1.88 | +1548.1% | -4.6% | -5.5% | -10.1% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | 0.34 | 1.73 | +410.1% | +1.2% | +1.8% | -3.9% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | -0.11 | 1.49 | +1455.9% | +3.1% | +16.7% | +38.9% |
| 2025-03-17 | beat | -0.21 | 1.00 | +578.3% | -0.8% | +12.3% | +5.7% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | 1.15 | 1.60 | +39.0% | -0.4% | -0.8% | +6.7% |
| 2024-08-13 | beat | -1.40 | -0.61 | +56.2% | +0.9% | -4.5% | +7.3% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | -0.99 | -0.51 | +48.7% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +11.2% |
| 2023-05-11 | beat | -1.93 | -1.09 | +43.5% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -6.3% |
| 2023-02-06 | miss | -0.91 | -2.10 | -130.8% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -1.07 | -1.05 | +1.9% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -9.3% |
Not investment advice.
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