CTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
-0.6%
Next 1 month
+4.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +6.4% median,
100% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.40%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.76 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.1%
$9M/day volume
87% volatility
-33% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -73% from the high
$2.14$8.21
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.07.
1-day std dev
23.4%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+129.5%
Biggest drop
-51.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +11.0% | -1.5% | +2.7% | -0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.10 | +13.0% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -9.8% |
| 2026-03-16 | miss | -0.09 | -0.22 | -138.0% | +47.9% | +44.2% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -115.0% | -9.3% | -13.6% | -7.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.06 | — | +100.0% | -2.4% | +11.9% | -9.0% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | 0.13 | 0.27 | +104.3% | +104.7% | +129.5% | +129.5% |
| 2025-03-06 | beat | -0.11 | 0.23 | +317.1% | +15.1% | +7.8% | +5.3% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.13 | 0.07 | +155.0% | +15.0% | +9.0% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -42.2% | +0.8% | +1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.06 | 0.17 | +382.1% | -35.0% | -51.3% | -52.3% |
| 2024-03-11 | beat | -0.03 | 0.01 | +135.1% | -19.5% | -14.3% | -13.1% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -0.21 | 0.04 | +119.1% | +0.8% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.20 | -0.02 | +90.1% | +0.0% | -3.6% | -8.9% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -0.11 | -0.05 | +53.3% | +3.5% | +5.8% | +2.9% |
| 2023-03-27 | miss | -0.24 | -0.42 | -73.1% | -17.3% | -15.1% | -16.8% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.33 | -0.35 | -5.2% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.40 | -0.37 | +7.8% | -3.7% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.36 | -0.37 | -3.8% | +5.0% | +0.6% | +9.3% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | -0.35 | -0.40 | -15.3% | +9.9% | +14.1% | +13.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.30 | -0.35 | -18.2% | -0.8% | +10.4% | +17.4% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.31 | -0.30 | +3.6% | -4.0% | -9.3% | -16.2% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -0.35 | -0.26 | +25.6% | +4.3% | +4.9% | +0.1% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | -0.51 | -0.31 | +39.4% | +1.1% | -2.2% | -5.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.49 | -0.32 | +34.3% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | 0.03 | -0.34 | -1302.7% | -2.5% | +0.9% | -9.1% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.51 | 0.26 | +150.5% | +4.8% | +16.2% | -26.4% |
| 2020-02-27 | miss | -0.51 | -0.79 | -56.3% | -3.9% | -6.1% | -1.8% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -0.46 | -0.52 | -12.5% | -4.1% | -3.3% | -12.8% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -0.59 | -0.64 | -7.6% | -7.2% | +0.6% | -16.9% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.52 | -0.31 | +39.9% | +2.0% | +10.4% | +6.7% |
| 2019-02-27 | miss | -0.49 | -0.74 | -49.5% | -3.3% | -11.9% | -23.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | -0.41 | -0.53 | -28.2% | +2.0% | +25.1% | +8.0% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -0.42 | -0.35 | +17.4% | -2.5% | -2.0% | -10.1% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.56 | -0.40 | +28.2% | -5.5% | -6.6% | -3.5% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | -0.29 | 0.03 | +110.5% | +0.5% | -4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | -0.22 | -0.28 | -25.8% | -0.5% | -2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2017-08-07 | miss | -0.33 | -0.69 | -109.1% | +0.7% | +8.3% | +2.6% |
| 2017-05-05 | beat | -0.43 | -0.23 | +46.2% | +8.0% | +2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2017-03-02 | beat | -0.42 | -0.39 | +6.6% | +0.1% | +7.4% | +4.1% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.31 | -0.40 | -30.4% | -8.2% | +0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.45 | -0.39 | +13.3% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +5.2% |
| 2016-05-06 | miss | -0.24 | -0.44 | -80.8% | -1.1% | +0.1% | -17.4% |
| 2016-03-07 | miss | -0.35 | -0.39 | -11.4% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -6.0% |
| 2015-11-23 | miss | -0.29 | -14.26 | -4817.2% | -0.7% | +8.0% | +47.8% |
Not investment advice.
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