CTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -0.8% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 50
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.60 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$10M/day volume
48% volatility
+76% 1-year
-13% from ATH
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -13% from the high
$5.18$12.23
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-03-10 (Wednesday, after close, in 130 days) · EPS est. 0.09.
1-day std dev
9.7%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+20.1%
Biggest drop
-18.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 28 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | — | 0.06 | — | -8.3% | +16.6% | — | |
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 0.02 | 0.09 | +500.0% | +10.9% | +3.7% | +0.1% |
| 2026-04-27 | beat | -0.05 | 0.02 | +136.2% | +5.4% | +2.6% | +13.1% |
| 2026-03-10 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +108.5% | -8.2% | -11.3% | -0.9% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +142.6% | -11.1% | -10.7% | -14.8% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -185.3% | +7.5% | +8.6% | +1.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -7.1% | -5.7% | -3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2025-03-04 | miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -7.0% | +33.1% | +20.1% | +18.7% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -19.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +26.2% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | -0.03 | -0.05 | -74.7% | -9.4% | -12.7% | -11.8% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -80.8% | -14.7% | -14.9% | -7.6% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.8% | -5.6% | -17.7% | -13.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +101.2% | -8.8% | -18.2% | -11.9% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +282.6% | +5.7% | +1.8% | -1.8% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +336.6% | +2.2% | +3.0% | +6.7% |
| 2023-03-14 | beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +72.0% | +10.8% | +8.4% | +6.0% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -23.5% | -10.0% | -15.6% | -6.8% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +504.0% | +7.4% | +2.0% | +7.6% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +199.2% | -1.3% | -2.9% | +9.5% |
| 2022-03-10 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +101.0% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +11.3% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +41.3% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -11.5% |
| 2021-08-12 | — | -0.45 | — | -0.8% | -9.5% | -9.9% | |
| 2021-05-12 | beat | -0.22 | -0.21 | +6.7% | -2.1% | -1.4% | -8.3% |
| 2021-03-08 | beat | -0.22 | -0.15 | +31.8% | +1.6% | +1.8% | +9.0% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.30 | 0.34 | +212.6% | -5.0% | +4.1% | +2.2% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -0.14 | -0.27 | -94.2% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +13.2% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.03 | -0.33 | -881.3% | +5.1% | +1.9% | -23.0% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -24.3% | +6.7% | -8.8% | -26.0% |
Not investment advice.
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