CTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +1.7% median,
55% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.26 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$8M/day volume
57% volatility
+35% 1-year
-57% from ATH
52-week range · 31% of the way up · -38% from the high
$34.80$77.91
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-01 (Tuesday, before open, in 29 days) · EPS est. -0.79.
1-day std dev
10.5%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+27.5%
Biggest drop
-20.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | beat | -0.32 | 0.04 | +113.8% | -12.1% | -6.2% | -8.7% |
| 2026-06-02 | beat | 0.32 | 1.08 | +242.8% | +15.0% | +4.1% | -1.3% |
| 2026-03-17 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +10.2% | +22.3% | +17.0% | +1.0% |
| 2025-12-02 | miss | -0.79 | -0.88 | -11.5% | +11.9% | -1.4% | +9.2% |
| 2025-08-26 | beat | -1.01 | -0.66 | +35.2% | +8.7% | -0.2% | +8.1% |
| 2025-06-03 | beat | -0.19 | 0.17 | +187.2% | +16.5% | +21.7% | +26.4% |
| 2025-03-18 | miss | 0.18 | -1.54 | -953.5% | +2.1% | +2.9% | -0.9% |
| 2024-12-03 | miss | -0.75 | -0.78 | -4.1% | +7.1% | +14.6% | +20.4% |
| 2024-08-27 | miss | -0.48 | -1.94 | -300.7% | -8.7% | -7.2% | -15.4% |
| 2024-06-04 | beat | -0.38 | -0.32 | +15.8% | +1.7% | -0.5% | -10.4% |
| 2024-03-19 | miss | 0.80 | 0.53 | -33.3% | -12.0% | -6.3% | -12.9% |
| 2023-11-28 | miss | -0.18 | -0.56 | -205.5% | -18.3% | -12.1% | -8.3% |
| 2023-08-22 | beat | -0.89 | -0.60 | +32.6% | +7.8% | +5.1% | +5.0% |
| 2023-05-23 | miss | -0.44 | -0.66 | -50.0% | -8.3% | -5.8% | -18.9% |
| 2023-03-21 | beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.1% | -12.5% | -10.0% | -22.4% |
| 2022-11-29 | beat | -0.02 | 0.24 | +1300.0% | +16.7% | +27.5% | +31.9% |
| 2022-08-24 | miss | 0.10 | -0.31 | -417.9% | -15.0% | -18.8% | -33.9% |
| 2022-05-24 | beat | 0.28 | 0.42 | +52.7% | -4.7% | +9.5% | +4.6% |
| 2022-03-15 | beat | 1.07 | 1.16 | +8.4% | +0.7% | +6.3% | +8.5% |
| 2021-11-30 | beat | 0.49 | 1.03 | +111.3% | +8.6% | +8.4% | +3.5% |
| 2021-08-24 | beat | 0.43 | 1.36 | +218.8% | +6.0% | +6.4% | +9.0% |
| 2021-05-25 | beat | 2.90 | 3.23 | +11.2% | +3.4% | -7.3% | -6.9% |
| 2021-03-16 | beat | 1.75 | 1.81 | +3.7% | +1.7% | +0.3% | -7.8% |
| 2020-12-01 | beat | 0.02 | 0.67 | +3250.0% | +3.3% | +5.4% | +23.1% |
| 2020-05-28 | miss | 0.95 | -2.00 | -310.5% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +4.9% |
| 2019-05-23 | miss | 0.83 | 0.65 | -21.7% | -13.7% | -14.9% | -20.5% |
| 2019-03-15 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +5.4% | -0.1% | -7.2% | -10.3% |
| 2018-12-10 | — | -0.04 | — | -0.8% | +0.9% | -3.3% | |
| 2018-08-23 | beat | 0.07 | 0.30 | +327.1% | +5.3% | -5.7% | -4.5% |
| 2018-05-23 | miss | 0.90 | 0.83 | -7.8% | -8.7% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2018-03-16 | beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.6% | +7.8% | +13.3% | +26.1% |
| 2017-11-21 | — | 0.05 | — | +19.3% | +10.0% | +15.5% | |
| 2017-08-16 | miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -62.5% | +4.4% | +3.4% | -8.0% |
| 2017-05-17 | 0.68 | 0.68 | — | -0.1% | -2.2% | +4.2% | |
| 2017-03-10 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.8% | +9.1% | +13.1% | +11.8% |
| 2016-11-22 | miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -282.1% | -4.5% | -8.3% | -16.9% |
| 2016-08-17 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +83.3% | +4.3% | +11.6% | +9.4% |
| 2016-05-18 | miss | 0.76 | 0.61 | -19.6% | -13.0% | -10.4% | -3.4% |
| 2016-03-11 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -4.0% | -8.1% | -9.4% | -3.2% |
| 2015-11-24 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -14.3% | -11.6% | -15.8% | -13.9% |
| 2015-08-19 | beat | -0.12 | 0.01 | +108.6% | +13.3% | +25.2% | +17.8% |
| 2015-05-20 | beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.8% | +4.1% | +5.9% | +4.4% |
| 2015-03-13 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +26.5% | -3.9% | -10.2% | -2.5% |
| 2014-11-25 | miss | -0.05 | -0.15 | -181.3% | +1.6% | -0.9% | -6.3% |
| 2014-08-20 | beat | -0.28 | -0.17 | +40.4% | +6.5% | +0.5% | +9.0% |
| 2014-05-21 | beat | 0.53 | 0.61 | +16.2% | +7.9% | +15.3% | +17.7% |
| 2014-03-14 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +21.4% | +6.1% | +6.1% | +6.1% |
| 2013-11-26 | beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +18.9% | +1.7% | -1.8% | +1.9% |
| 2013-08-21 | beat | -0.42 | -0.34 | +18.0% | +9.7% | +9.0% | +12.8% |
| 2013-05-22 | miss | 0.57 | 0.42 | -26.5% | -0.9% | +5.3% | +8.0% |
| 2013-03-15 | beat | -0.07 | -0.03 | +55.4% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2012-11-20 | beat | -0.41 | -0.23 | +45.0% | +7.1% | +3.5% | +15.3% |
| 2012-08-15 | miss | -0.44 | -0.54 | -21.6% | -11.5% | -15.0% | -21.6% |
| 2012-05-16 | beat | 0.46 | 0.69 | +48.7% | +4.3% | +16.2% | +17.9% |
| 2012-03-09 | beat | -0.20 | -0.18 | +10.0% | -1.1% | -1.8% | +3.5% |
| 2011-11-22 | miss | -0.37 | -0.38 | -2.4% | -6.2% | -5.2% | -14.7% |
| 2011-08-17 | beat | -0.64 | -0.61 | +4.0% | -3.2% | -1.7% | -6.0% |
| 2011-05-18 | miss | 0.87 | 0.83 | -4.1% | -13.6% | -20.0% | -22.3% |
| 2011-03-11 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.2% | -2.0% | +7.0% | -0.9% |
| 2010-11-22 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -40.0% | +1.0% | +13.7% | +10.8% |
Not investment advice.
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