CWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.9% median,
56% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 33
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.39 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.9%
$18.1B market cap (#716 US)
$202M/day volume
36% volatility
-21% 1-year
-41% from ATH
52-week range · 6% of the way up · -41% from the high
$453.43$808.16
Congressional trades in CW Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 2 sells · $32K–$130K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 3.76.
1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+7.5%
Biggest drop
-9.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 3.62 | 3.72 | +2.8% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -8.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 3.30 | 3.48 | +5.3% | +1.0% | -2.5% | +1.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 3.69 | 3.79 | +2.8% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +11.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 3.29 | 3.40 | +3.3% | -3.8% | -1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 3.13 | 3.23 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -7.0% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 2.39 | 2.82 | +18.2% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +12.4% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 3.09 | 3.27 | +5.9% | +5.3% | -1.2% | -7.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 2.69 | 2.97 | +10.3% | +1.8% | -2.5% | +6.7% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 2.29 | 2.67 | +16.7% | +2.3% | +6.9% | +12.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 1.72 | 1.99 | +15.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 2.92 | 3.16 | +8.2% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 2.38 | 2.54 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +2.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.98 | 2.15 | +8.5% | +4.5% | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +0.3% | -4.6% | -3.9% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 2.91 | 2.92 | +0.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 2.02 | 2.07 | +2.4% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +5.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 1.69 | 1.83 | +8.3% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 1.20 | 1.31 | +9.4% | -2.1% | -6.5% | -6.3% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 2.37 | 2.40 | +1.5% | -3.3% | +0.7% | +14.6% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 1.82 | 1.88 | +3.5% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 1.54 | 1.56 | +1.2% | -1.7% | -1.4% | +1.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 1.30 | 1.51 | +16.1% | -0.2% | +2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 2.34 | 2.39 | +2.4% | +0.1% | -6.1% | -4.7% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 1.54 | 1.85 | +20.4% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +14.8% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 1.28 | 1.31 | +2.6% | +0.8% | +5.8% | +18.5% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 1.29 | 1.34 | +3.6% | -1.8% | -3.9% | -9.5% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 2.08 | 2.12 | +2.0% | -2.2% | -5.8% | -5.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 1.83 | 1.95 | +6.6% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +6.5% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 1.77 | 1.90 | +7.1% | -1.5% | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 1.16 | 1.30 | +11.6% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +3.7% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.8% | +0.1% | +4.2% | -1.5% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 1.56 | 1.70 | +8.8% | +2.0% | -0.4% | +4.0% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 1.28 | 1.80 | +40.5% | +1.8% | +4.5% | +4.3% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.87 | 0.98 | +13.2% | -0.7% | -1.1% | +5.7% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 1.46 | 1.75 | +19.7% | +3.2% | +5.4% | +0.9% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 1.21 | 1.43 | +18.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.97 | 1.13 | +17.1% | +3.1% | +1.2% | +0.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.3% | +2.0% | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 1.49 | 1.58 | +5.9% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -1.6% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +1.0% | +2.3% | +5.1% | +1.1% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +8.9% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +2.7% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.3% | +3.9% | +4.5% | +6.9% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | 1.21 | 1.07 | -11.3% | +0.5% | +6.7% | +8.9% |
| 2015-10-28 | miss | 1.01 | 0.95 | -5.5% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.79 | 0.89 | +13.0% | -1.0% | -3.0% | -6.5% |
| 2015-02-18 | miss | 1.01 | 0.94 | -6.5% | -4.4% | -2.1% | +3.6% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.6% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +0.2% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.78 | 0.93 | +19.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +3.7% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.5% | +2.7% | +6.5% | +6.6% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.3% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +9.6% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.78 | 0.76 | -2.7% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +2.0% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +5.0% | +1.6% | +7.5% | +6.9% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.5% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +8.3% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | 0.95 | 0.95 | -0.2% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -4.4% |
| 2012-11-06 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.2% | -1.3% | -2.9% | -6.0% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.0% | +1.3% | +4.8% | +4.6% |
| 2012-05-01 | miss | 0.57 | 0.42 | -26.4% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -7.6% |
| 2012-02-14 | miss | 0.84 | 0.84 | -0.2% | -4.2% | -9.4% | -7.7% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.8% | -3.5% | +0.9% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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