DAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -3.3% median,
42% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.40%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.63 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$28M/day volume
24% volatility
+71% 1-year
-73% from ATH
52-week range · 78% of the way up · -11% from the high
$89.07$172.76
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-16 (Monday, after close, in 13 days) · EPS est. 6.53.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+27.0%
Biggest drop
-11.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | 7.60 | 7.29 | -4.1% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | 6.60 | 6.72 | +1.8% | -5.2% | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | 6.77 | 7.14 | +5.5% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2025-11-17 | miss | 7.10 | 6.75 | -4.9% | -1.1% | +1.2% | +1.9% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 6.66 | 6.36 | -4.5% | -2.0% | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| 2025-05-13 | miss | 6.44 | 6.04 | -6.1% | -4.6% | -3.6% | -4.6% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 6.52 | 6.93 | +6.3% | +0.8% | +4.0% | +3.5% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | 6.78 | 6.50 | -4.1% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 6.92 | 6.78 | -1.9% | -0.8% | -0.7% | +1.1% |
| 2024-05-28 | miss | 7.75 | 7.15 | -7.7% | -3.2% | -2.9% | +3.3% |
| 2024-02-13 | miss | 7.79 | 6.99 | -10.2% | -3.7% | -3.8% | -4.2% |
| 2023-11-13 | miss | 7.36 | 7.26 | -1.4% | +4.2% | +6.5% | +9.3% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 6.93 | 7.14 | +3.1% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | 5.90 | 7.14 | +21.0% | +2.5% | +4.6% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-14 | miss | 7.17 | 6.99 | -2.5% | -2.5% | -3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 7.42 | 8.71 | +17.4% | -1.9% | -4.6% | -4.8% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 5.86 | 7.59 | +29.5% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +3.5% |
| 2022-05-16 | beat | 6.14 | 11.36 | +85.0% | +2.0% | -3.4% | +0.4% |
| 2022-02-07 | beat | 4.95 | 6.10 | +23.2% | +0.5% | -1.5% | +3.0% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 3.68 | 5.32 | +44.6% | +4.6% | +4.2% | -1.1% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 3.05 | 3.34 | +9.5% | -1.7% | -0.4% | +4.0% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 2.76 | 2.83 | +2.5% | -8.9% | -11.3% | -6.2% |
| 2021-02-16 | beat | 2.27 | 2.29 | +0.9% | +6.6% | +6.4% | -1.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.7% | +5.3% | +1.3% | +22.9% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 1.42 | 1.71 | +20.4% | +20.7% | +27.0% | +41.6% |
| 2020-05-18 | beat | 1.19 | 1.34 | +12.6% | +9.9% | +0.0% | +6.8% |
| 2020-02-10 | beat | 1.67 | 2.01 | +20.4% | +12.0% | +8.9% | +19.6% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 2.14 | 2.46 | +14.9% | +4.3% | +6.8% | -5.7% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 2.10 | 1.97 | -6.2% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -4.1% |
| 2019-05-13 | beat | 2.24 | 2.53 | +12.9% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +28.5% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 1.68 | 2.52 | +50.0% | +3.5% | +1.2% | +18.8% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | 2.10 | 3.22 | +53.3% | +2.8% | +4.7% | +1.9% |
| 2018-09-24 | beat | 3.22 | 3.78 | +17.4% | -6.1% | -6.1% | -29.1% |
| 2018-06-26 | beat | 2.52 | 3.50 | +38.9% | +19.4% | +0.0% | +33.3% |
| 2018-02-12 | beat | 2.94 | 3.92 | +33.3% | +7.7% | +3.8% | +3.8% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 3.08 | 3.78 | +22.7% | -3.3% | +6.7% | +16.7% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 2.94 | 3.64 | +23.8% | +5.0% | +2.5% | -15.0% |
| 2017-05-30 | beat | 2.52 | 3.08 | +22.2% | +11.1% | +3.7% | +3.7% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 2.80 | 2.94 | +5.0% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -13.0% |
| 2016-12-15 | miss | 4.06 | 2.94 | -27.6% | -9.8% | -4.9% | -13.1% |
| 2016-08-01 | miss | 6.04 | 6.02 | -0.3% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -4.3% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 5.72 | 6.02 | +5.3% | -0.8% | -9.3% | -20.5% |
| 2016-02-16 | beat | 5.40 | 6.02 | +11.5% | +5.3% | +1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 4.79 | 5.60 | +16.9% | +2.2% | -3.0% | -3.4% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | 3.98 | 4.90 | +23.2% | +2.6% | +1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 3.01 | 3.92 | +30.4% | +4.5% | +2.3% | +3.2% |
| 2015-02-09 | beat | 2.35 | 2.94 | +25.2% | +3.8% | -11.4% | +0.7% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.93 | 2.24 | +16.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% | +26.0% |
| 2014-07-28 | miss | 1.63 | 1.54 | -5.6% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2014-05-05 | miss | 1.04 | 0.84 | -19.5% | -2.4% | -1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2014-02-10 | beat | 1.73 | 1.96 | +13.6% | +5.1% | +10.8% | +4.9% |
| 2013-10-29 | miss | 1.77 | 1.68 | -5.3% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +11.0% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 1.40 | 1.54 | +10.0% | -1.5% | -6.7% | -2.1% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 1.58 | 1.82 | +15.6% | +0.5% | +2.7% | +7.3% |
| 2013-02-11 | miss | 1.91 | 1.54 | -19.5% | -4.9% | -7.4% | -14.3% |
| 2012-11-05 | miss | 2.38 | 1.96 | -17.6% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 2.47 | 2.10 | -15.1% | -1.9% | -2.2% | +5.3% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | 0.75 | 2.24 | +200.0% | +1.5% | +8.8% | -5.0% |
| 2012-02-21 | miss | 2.28 | 2.10 | -7.7% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +4.9% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | 2.16 | 2.24 | +3.9% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +6.4% |
Not investment advice.
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