DBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -3.9% median,
45% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 15
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.80 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.0%
$4M/day volume
70% volatility
-38% 1-year
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -64% from the high
$8.63$26.18
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-03-25 (Thursday, after close, in 146 days) · EPS est. -0.15.
1-day std dev
7.2%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+8.8%
Biggest drop
-28.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | miss | -0.09 | -0.10 | -12.0% | +1.3% | -1.1% | -8.3% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +22.5% | +1.0% | -5.4% | -6.0% |
| 2026-03-26 | miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -5.7% | +2.8% | -1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | -0.29 | -0.21 | +29.4% | -7.6% | -2.2% | -9.3% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | -0.16 | -0.27 | -71.6% | +4.0% | -4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | -0.22 | -0.23 | -3.2% | -2.0% | -4.4% | +9.2% |
| 2025-03-24 | miss | -0.21 | -0.21 | -1.3% | -9.8% | -10.6% | +36.7% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -1.64 | -1.49 | +9.2% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -27.3% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | -2.65 | -1.57 | +40.6% | -1.4% | +2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -2.06 | -5.20 | -152.8% | +1.5% | +2.1% | -15.3% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -2.43 | -2.01 | +17.3% | -0.7% | +3.9% | -4.4% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | -2.63 | -1.61 | +38.8% | +5.0% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | -2.27 | -2.36 | -3.9% | +12.2% | +8.8% | +4.1% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -2.36 | -2.00 | +15.3% | +1.3% | +5.8% | +26.9% |
| 2023-03-02 | miss | -1.71 | -8.49 | -395.4% | +6.6% | +5.1% | +18.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -3.15 | -3.69 | -17.1% | -5.2% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2022-08-01 | miss | -3.03 | -3.41 | -12.6% | -2.0% | -4.0% | +10.0% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | -4.34 | -2.86 | +34.2% | -3.2% | -8.3% | -8.3% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | -8.95 | -3.79 | +57.6% | +0.8% | +5.3% | +8.4% |
| 2022-03-03 | miss | -4.25 | -12.68 | -198.4% | -20.0% | -23.4% | -21.1% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | -4.32 | -3.79 | +12.2% | -24.2% | -28.7% | -41.0% |
| 2021-10-25 | — | -3.10 | — | -0.8% | -1.6% | -40.4% | |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | -3.98 | -4.71 | -18.4% | -6.5% | -7.4% | -11.4% |
| 2021-08-01 | beat | -4.50 | -2.61 | +42.0% | -6.5% | -7.4% | -11.4% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | -3.85 | -4.50 | -16.9% | -1.2% | -6.2% | -6.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | -4.60 | -4.08 | +11.2% | +2.5% | -1.5% | -7.2% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -9.40 | -7.60 | +19.1% | +12.7% | +6.8% | -41.3% |
| 2020-03-22 | miss | -7.20 | -10.40 | -44.4% | +12.1% | +6.0% | +7.4% |
| 2020-03-20 | beat | -14.80 | -8.80 | +40.6% | +7.3% | -1.9% | +8.9% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | -9.40 | -8.40 | +10.6% | -8.2% | -13.2% | -14.5% |
| 2020-01-28 | miss | -8.70 | -9.10 | -4.6% | +2.8% | +1.2% | -10.9% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | -8.50 | -8.10 | +4.7% | +3.6% | +1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2019-03-31 | beat | -16.83 | -9.40 | +44.2% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +18.9% |
| 2018-09-06 | beat | -11.45 | -9.20 | +19.6% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +11.0% |
| 2018-03-16 | beat | -17.60 | -9.40 | +46.6% | +4.9% | +3.0% | +3.4% |
| 2018-03-15 | beat | -12.10 | -8.30 | +31.4% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2017-07-30 | beat | -15.75 | -12.40 | +21.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | +0.2% |
| 2017-03-21 | beat | -4.90 | -4.00 | +18.4% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | -4.80 | -4.00 | +16.7% | +2.2% | -0.9% | -11.1% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | -4.50 | -2.20 | +51.1% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -13.4% |
| 2015-07-27 | beat | -5.30 | -4.20 | +20.8% | +1.4% | +1.5% | +3.3% |
| 2015-07-02 | beat | -4.79 | -3.20 | +33.2% | -2.5% | +0.3% | +20.8% |
Not investment advice.
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