DMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -1.8% median,
38% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 46
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.53 +3.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$2M/day volume
58% volatility
+33% 1-year
-79% from ATH
52-week range · 78% of the way up · -11% from the high
$5.24$10.42
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.21.
1-day std dev
9.0%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+17.2%
Biggest drop
-34.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -0.20 | -0.19 | +5.0% | +0.3% | +3.3% | -0.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.18 | -0.19 | -2.7% | -1.2% | +0.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-03-30 | beat | -0.18 | -0.17 | +5.6% | +7.5% | +2.0% | -6.8% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -6.2% | -6.3% | -14.1% | +14.4% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +5.3% | -6.1% | +14.9% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-13 | -0.18 | -0.18 | — | -1.8% | +0.5% | +3.8% | |
| 2025-03-17 | miss | -0.17 | -0.18 | -4.3% | +0.2% | -13.0% | -23.7% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | -0.15 | -0.15 | +3.2% | +0.7% | -3.3% | -1.9% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +17.0% | +0.9% | +3.1% | +8.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.16 | -0.14 | +10.6% | -2.9% | -6.3% | -8.6% |
| 2024-03-19 | -0.14 | -0.14 | — | +1.4% | -1.8% | -6.0% | |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +5.3% | -9.4% | +6.8% | +6.4% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +9.4% | -4.2% | +4.4% | +1.4% |
| 2023-05-15 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -25.0% | +1.1% | -10.8% | +42.9% |
| 2023-03-28 | -0.14 | -0.14 | — | +6.6% | -3.3% | +2.0% | |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +18.6% | +0.8% | -1.6% | -4.1% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +27.8% | +5.2% | +9.8% | +4.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | -0.21 | -0.13 | +39.1% | -2.4% | +2.8% | +0.8% |
| 2022-03-14 | beat | -0.18 | -0.11 | +40.5% | -2.2% | -0.4% | +29.0% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +22.6% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -17.7% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +21.3% | +2.4% | -5.0% | +1.5% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +12.8% | -0.7% | -9.2% | -31.5% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | -0.16 | -0.23 | -41.5% | +1.0% | +3.5% | +9.3% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.15 | -0.19 | -29.5% | -7.4% | -5.9% | -7.0% |
| 2020-08-11 | miss | -0.13 | -0.17 | -25.9% | -1.3% | -1.9% | -4.6% |
| 2020-05-13 | beat | -0.28 | -0.19 | +33.3% | +23.7% | +17.2% | +21.4% |
| 2020-03-23 | beat | -0.25 | -0.21 | +16.0% | -6.9% | -2.6% | +21.2% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +4.8% | -6.1% | -8.6% | -8.9% |
| 2019-08-13 | beat | -0.26 | -0.21 | +18.2% | -10.4% | -34.7% | -24.9% |
| 2019-05-13 | miss | -0.20 | -0.27 | -35.0% | -2.0% | +3.7% | -5.0% |
| 2019-03-19 | beat | -0.26 | -0.11 | +57.7% | +4.2% | +1.1% | +35.6% |
| 2018-11-18 | beat | -0.16 | -0.07 | +56.2% | -7.2% | -9.5% | +5.3% |
| 2018-08-29 | miss | -0.16 | -0.60 | -275.0% | -7.0% | -9.1% | -12.8% |
| 2018-04-30 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -25.0% | -4.0% | -5.8% | +4.9% |
| 2017-11-27 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -3.8% | -6.7% | -7.2% | -9.0% |
| 2017-08-29 | miss | -0.14 | -0.20 | -42.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | -0.16 | 0.20 | +225.0% | +6.6% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2014-08-28 | beat | -0.56 | -0.37 | +34.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -5.4% |
| 2014-05-29 | miss | -0.54 | -0.74 | -36.8% | +17.2% | +17.2% | +24.7% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | -0.36 | -0.36 | -1.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% |
Not investment advice.
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