EL

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. $109.31 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.7% median, 57% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.29 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$39.2B market cap (#484 US) $297M/day volume 48% volatility +9% 1-year -71% from ATH
52-week range · 78% of the way up · -10% from the high
$66.22$121.64

Congressional trades in EL Full tracker →

21 members · 46 buys / 40 sells · $423K–$2.0M disclosed · latest filing Oct 19, 2026.

BUY JJ Jonathan Jackson · traded Sep 28, 2026 $50K–$100K
BUY JB John Boozman · traded Jul 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY JB John Boozman · traded Jul 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Aug 5, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Apr 11, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL SW Sheldon Whitehouse · traded Apr 29, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Feb 12, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JJ Julie Johnson · traded Jan 15, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Dec 31, 2024 $15K–$50K
SELL GL Greg Landsman · traded Aug 15, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY DN Dan Newhouse · traded Apr 10, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Dec 12, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Dec 12, 2023 $15K–$50K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 30, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Jonathan Jackson · traded Jun 7, 2023 $15K–$50K
BUY JJ Jonathan Jackson · traded May 2, 2023 $15K–$50K
BUY DN Dan Newhouse · traded Aug 5, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Apr 28, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Apr 10, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Mar 6, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jan 31, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Nov 7, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Oct 12, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 5, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Jul 27, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY KM Kathy Manning · traded Jul 27, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY KM Kathy Manning · traded May 27, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 14, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Feb 28, 2022 $15K–$50K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 26, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Mar 25, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 26, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Sep 30, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL DM David B. McKinley · traded Aug 19, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Apr 30, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 23, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Feb 19, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY KM Kathy Manning · traded Jan 15, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Jan 19, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Nov 13, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Nov 3, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Nov 18, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Oct 8, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL FP Frank Pallone · traded Sep 25, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Sep 3, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY DP Dean Phillips · traded Sep 23, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Sep 2, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL DM David B. McKinley · traded Aug 28, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Jul 14, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DM David B. McKinley · traded Jun 1, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded May 1, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded May 8, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DM David B. McKinley · traded Apr 30, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Apr 27, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips sT · traded Apr 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY KH Kevin Hern sT · traded Feb 14, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 5, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Jan 14, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Feb 19, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DB Donald Sternoff Beyer · traded Jan 24, 2020 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 86 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.50.

1-day std dev
8.4%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+17.9%
Biggest drop
-20.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-19 beat 0.32 0.39 +22.1% +11.2% +16.3% +24.7%
2026-05-01 beat 0.65 0.91 +40.2% +12.1% +3.4% +12.4%
2026-02-05 beat 0.83 0.89 +6.6% -12.4% -19.2% -11.0%
2025-10-30 beat 0.18 0.32 +81.9% -2.8% +0.3% -9.8%
2025-08-20 beat 0.09 0.09 +1.1% -4.3% -3.7% +3.0%
2025-05-01 beat 0.31 0.65 +108.8% -1.4% -1.8% +2.1%
2025-02-04 beat 0.32 0.62 +93.8% -7.6% -16.1% -14.6%
2024-10-31 beat 0.10 0.14 +46.8% -24.4% -20.9% -23.9%
2024-08-19 beat 0.25 0.64 +151.0% +0.1% -2.2% -0.5%
2024-05-01 beat 0.50 0.97 +95.7% -4.3% -13.2% -11.7%
2024-02-05 beat 0.56 0.88 +57.5% +18.9% +12.0% +8.8%
2023-11-01 beat -0.20 0.11 +156.4% -15.2% -18.9% -9.5%
2023-08-18 beat -0.04 0.07 +286.7% -6.2% -3.3% -5.5%
2023-05-03 miss 0.51 0.47 -7.7% -20.9% -17.3% -18.0%
2023-02-02 beat 1.29 1.54 +19.1% -2.5% -4.4% -10.1%
2022-11-02 beat 1.31 1.37 +4.3% -7.3% -8.1% -0.9%
2022-08-18 beat 0.37 0.42 +14.0% -2.0% +1.8% +0.3%
2022-05-03 beat 1.67 1.90 +13.4% -12.7% -5.8% -11.9%
2022-02-03 beat 2.64 3.01 +14.1% -4.5% -5.0% -1.1%
2021-11-02 beat 1.70 1.89 +11.2% -2.8% +4.1% +6.7%
2021-08-19 beat 0.50 0.78 +54.9% +0.0% +2.6% +5.5%
2021-05-03 beat 1.32 1.62 +22.5% -3.6% -7.9% -4.9%
2021-02-05 beat 1.69 2.61 +54.6% +8.9% +7.8% +14.7%
2020-11-02 beat 0.90 1.44 +59.9% +6.3% +1.9% +12.1%
2020-08-20 miss -0.17 -0.53 -203.3% -6.9% -6.7% +1.8%
2020-05-01 beat 0.76 0.85 +11.4% -3.3% -2.2% -1.8%
2020-02-06 beat 1.90 2.11 +11.0% +4.8% +5.1% +6.7%
2019-10-31 beat 1.60 1.67 +4.7% -3.6% -3.6% -3.2%
2019-08-19 beat 0.54 0.64 +19.3% +8.9% +12.5% +11.7%
2019-05-01 beat 1.30 1.55 +19.4% +4.8% -0.9% -2.9%
2019-02-05 beat 1.54 1.74 +12.7% +9.4% +11.6% +12.3%
2018-10-31 beat 1.23 1.41 +15.0% +9.3% +4.7% +8.5%
2018-08-20 beat 0.56 0.61 +8.8% +3.8% +3.4% +1.7%
2018-05-02 beat 1.07 1.17 +9.5% -3.4% -8.5% -4.9%
2018-02-02 beat 1.44 1.52 +5.2% +3.1% -0.1% +0.1%
2017-11-01 beat 0.97 1.21 +24.6% +7.5% +9.2% +10.1%
2017-08-18 beat 0.43 0.51 +18.3% +4.6% +7.7% +8.3%
2017-05-03 beat 0.73 0.91 +24.9% +3.1% +4.4% +7.5%
2017-02-02 beat 1.17 1.22 +4.2% +3.7% +2.6% +3.4%
2016-11-02 beat 0.80 0.84 +5.4% -3.5% -5.4% -6.8%
2016-08-19 beat 0.40 0.43 +8.4% -3.4% -3.5% -4.4%
2016-05-03 beat 0.61 0.73 +19.6% -3.0% -4.0% -1.6%
2016-02-05 beat 1.11 1.22 +10.2% +0.4% +4.6% +1.5%
2015-11-02 beat 0.70 0.82 +17.7% +5.3% +8.1% +5.2%
2015-08-17 beat 0.34 0.40 +16.8% -2.2% -6.8% -13.8%
2015-05-05 beat 0.51 0.72 +40.5% +5.0% +4.0% +4.8%
2015-02-05 beat 1.05 1.13 +7.6% +2.8% +8.1% +11.5%
2014-11-04 beat 0.55 0.80 +44.7% -3.7% -5.2% -4.3%
2014-08-15 beat 0.55 0.66 +19.8% -0.6% +0.3% +0.5%
2014-05-02 beat 0.54 0.64 +17.4% +2.9% +4.8% +1.5%
2014-02-05 beat 1.06 1.09 +2.5% +0.5% -5.5% -3.3%
2013-10-31 beat 0.73 0.76 +3.8% +2.7% -0.6% -1.5%
2013-08-15 beat 0.21 0.24 +11.8% +2.7% +3.4% +3.3%
2013-05-02 beat 0.33 0.45 +35.1% -2.5% +2.6% +0.7%
2013-02-05 beat 1.05 1.16 +10.8% +5.3% +6.0% +2.7%
2012-11-01 beat 0.77 0.79 +3.1% -3.5% -0.7% -7.0%
2012-08-14 beat 0.16 0.17 +4.6% +5.8% +9.3% +9.7%
2012-05-04 beat 0.33 0.38 +14.0% -3.4% -5.3% -9.3%
2012-02-03 miss 1.01 1.01 -0.4% -5.7% -2.3% -3.3%
2011-11-03 beat 0.59 0.71 +19.1% +13.0% +17.9% +15.0%
Posted about EL See all ›
TRACKER - Cathie Wood long — 2d ago ARK bought 19,713 shares of AVAV for ARKX. The trade: 0.36% of that fund, on 26 October 2026 — roughly $2.5m at that day’s close. ARK put the same… TRACKER - Jonathan Jackson · Congress long 104.05 Tue, 20 Oct Jonathan Jackson's trade date was 28 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $50,001–$100,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a… TRACKER - Analyst Ratings long 94.04 Mon, 05 Oct Barclays upgraded EL. The move: Barclays upgraded EL: Equal-Weight to Overweight with a $108 target, on 5 October 2026. The price: shown for… TRACKER - John Boozman · Congress long 84.27 Tue, 18 Aug John Boozman's trade date was 2 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,…

Not investment advice.