ELModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -1.6% median,
36% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 31
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.49%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.78 +4.2% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.2%
$2M/day volume
84% volatility
-40% 1-year
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -43% from the high
$1.35$4.60
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-13 (Friday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.19.
1-day std dev
6.4%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+13.5%
Biggest drop
-13.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | miss | -0.15 | -0.27 | -77.0% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -6.8% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | -0.23 | -0.33 | -43.5% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2026-03-19 | beat | -0.20 | -0.10 | +50.4% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-14 | beat | -0.25 | -0.21 | +14.5% | +2.3% | -8.0% | -8.5% |
| 2025-08-14 | beat | -0.23 | -0.13 | +43.9% | +1.2% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | -0.30 | -0.08 | +73.6% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +6.7% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | -0.33 | -0.95 | -189.5% | -2.0% | +2.0% | -2.6% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.31 | -0.32 | -3.2% | -2.3% | -11.4% | -20.1% |
| 2024-08-19 | miss | -0.32 | -1.06 | -227.8% | +2.4% | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| 2024-05-13 | miss | -0.33 | -0.34 | -3.0% | +0.0% | +6.8% | +41.1% |
| 2024-03-28 | beat | -0.38 | -0.29 | +24.1% | +1.9% | -3.4% | -16.0% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -0.41 | -0.35 | +14.2% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +10.4% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.45 | -0.40 | +11.1% | +2.1% | +1.7% | +6.6% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.74 | -0.75 | -1.4% | -4.3% | -13.0% | -17.0% |
| 2023-03-30 | beat | -0.77 | -0.68 | +11.0% | +6.4% | -6.0% | -19.5% |
| 2022-11-14 | miss | -0.69 | -0.73 | -5.8% | +0.3% | -3.6% | -15.0% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | -0.72 | -0.65 | +10.3% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -7.2% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.73 | -0.69 | +5.5% | +4.5% | +10.0% | +32.7% |
| 2022-03-24 | beat | -0.79 | -0.60 | +24.5% | +6.1% | +4.0% | +5.6% |
| 2021-11-11 | miss | -0.65 | -0.66 | -2.1% | +18.4% | +13.5% | +7.3% |
| 2021-08-12 | beat | -3.76 | -0.50 | +86.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2021-05-14 | beat | -2.20 | -0.57 | +74.0% | +10.1% | +0.6% | +9.7% |
| 2021-03-30 | beat | -1.76 | -0.69 | +61.0% | +16.8% | +8.6% | +16.2% |
| 2020-11-16 | miss | -1.75 | -5.51 | -215.5% | -4.0% | -5.0% | +12.1% |
| 2020-08-14 | beat | -2.97 | -2.70 | +9.1% | +1.1% | -3.5% | -0.9% |
| 2020-05-15 | miss | -2.88 | -3.49 | -21.2% | -6.7% | -7.6% | -3.8% |
| 2020-03-17 | miss | -4.68 | -4.86 | -3.9% | +58.1% | +8.4% | +12.4% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | -7.29 | -3.96 | +45.7% | +14.3% | -10.0% | -5.7% |
| 2019-08-13 | beat | -7.65 | -6.30 | +17.6% | -4.8% | -2.3% | -4.0% |
| 2019-05-14 | miss | -8.73 | -9.36 | -7.2% | -5.0% | -0.9% | -14.4% |
| 2019-03-28 | miss | -7.20 | -8.82 | -22.5% | -1.2% | +2.4% | +7.1% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | -7.20 | -6.66 | +7.5% | -2.3% | +2.8% | -6.5% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | -5.58 | -6.12 | -9.7% | +0.6% | +4.4% | -4.9% |
| 2018-05-11 | miss | -5.22 | -6.48 | -24.1% | +3.9% | +12.0% | +33.3% |
| 2018-04-02 | beat | -6.84 | -5.40 | +21.1% | -0.4% | -6.0% | +8.5% |
Not investment advice.
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