ELF

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. $115.41 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +6.9% median, 56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.64 +4.3% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.0%
$137M/day volume 65% volatility -8% 1-year -48% from ATH
52-week range · 80% of the way up · -13% from the high
$48.82$132.37

Congressional trades in ELF Full tracker →

3 members · 5 buys / 4 sells · $9K–$135K disclosed · latest filing Aug 14, 2026.

SELL MG Michael Patrick Guest · traded Dec 16, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY MM Markwayne Mullin · traded Jan 4, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY MM Markwayne Mullin · traded Jan 4, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Jan 13, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL MM Markwayne Mullin · traded Dec 18, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL MM Markwayne Mullin · traded Dec 18, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY MM Markwayne Mullin · traded Jan 4, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY MM Markwayne Mullin · traded Jan 4, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY MG Michael Patrick Guest · traded Aug 7, 2023 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.59.

1-day std dev
13.8%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+23.6%
Biggest drop
-35.0%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-05 beat 0.72 1.75 +143.9% +3.5% +6.9% +6.6%
2026-05-20 beat 0.29 0.32 +12.2% +6.6% +4.7% +10.4%
2026-02-04 beat 0.72 1.24 +71.4% +8.7% -9.2% -12.2%
2025-11-05 beat 0.57 0.68 +19.9% -24.1% -35.0% -36.9%
2025-08-06 beat 0.84 0.89 +6.3% -11.5% -9.5% +8.3%
2025-05-28 beat 0.72 0.78 +8.3% +20.3% +23.6% +28.0%
2025-02-06 miss 0.76 0.74 -2.5% -25.1% -19.6% -17.5%
2024-11-06 beat 0.43 0.77 +80.9% +5.8% +11.4% +18.2%
2024-08-08 beat 0.84 1.10 +30.8% -11.0% -14.4% -15.3%
2024-05-22 beat 0.33 0.53 +59.7% +11.0% +18.7% +20.1%
2024-02-06 beat 0.56 0.74 +32.6% -1.2% -4.9% -3.8%
2023-11-01 beat 0.53 0.82 +56.0% +11.7% +3.7% +5.2%
2023-08-01 beat 0.57 1.10 +92.5% +15.5% +14.3% +12.4%
2023-05-24 beat 0.20 0.42 +113.6% +10.7% +20.5% +21.7%
2023-02-01 beat 0.23 0.48 +105.7% +18.4% +15.0% +24.5%
2022-11-02 beat 0.16 0.36 +126.6% +8.8% +15.4% +23.8%
2022-08-03 beat 0.24 0.39 +65.1% +7.6% +6.8% +7.5%
2022-05-25 beat 0.06 0.13 +105.6% +3.7% +11.2% +19.3%
2022-02-02 beat 0.15 0.24 +57.5% +1.3% -3.6% -5.9%
2021-11-03 beat 0.12 0.21 +68.3% -9.6% -9.0% -5.8%
2021-08-04 beat 0.14 0.27 +89.8% +9.6% +6.3% +6.0%
2021-05-26 beat 0.09 0.16 +69.4% -5.4% -3.8% -7.9%
2021-02-03 miss 0.24 0.22 -8.8% -3.1% +0.8% +1.5%
2020-11-04 beat 0.13 0.16 +27.5% -11.2% -9.0% -1.2%
2020-08-05 beat 0.04 0.17 +356.6% +9.9% +8.3% +6.2%
2020-05-21 beat 0.05 0.10 +112.8% +10.0% +16.8% +16.1%
2020-02-05 beat 0.15 0.24 +55.8% +9.7% +9.2% +14.4%
2019-11-06 beat 0.09 0.15 +63.4% +10.4% -3.4% -8.4%
2019-08-07 beat 0.06 0.14 +127.1% +5.1% +4.6% -0.8%
2019-05-08 beat 0.06 0.06 +6.0% -17.9% -7.3% -1.9%
2019-02-26 beat 0.21 0.30 +45.9% -24.1% -23.0% -15.8%
2018-11-05 beat 0.08 0.17 +118.7% +19.4% +19.2% +16.9%
2018-08-08 beat 0.06 0.13 +108.3% -24.2% -33.9% -24.5%
2018-05-09 beat 0.09 0.11 +18.7% +0.0% -3.6% -0.1%
2018-02-27 beat 0.17 0.26 +51.8% -11.4% -9.3% -8.2%
2017-11-08 beat 0.06 0.17 +168.2% -1.6% -1.5% +1.9%
2017-08-09 beat 0.04 0.12 +226.3% -1.5% -1.6% -4.7%
2017-05-10 beat 0.05 0.09 +90.9% -6.9% -4.8% -12.5%
2017-03-08 beat 0.13 0.19 +42.1% +22.6% +12.3% +3.5%
2016-11-10 beat 0.01 0.09 +700.0% +5.1% +4.2% +13.4%

Not investment advice.