EQModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +5.6% median,
90% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.24 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.8%
$7M/day volume
21% volatility
+18% 1-year
-7% from ATH
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -7% from the high
$39.98$52.27
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-20 (Wednesday, after close, in 80 days) · EPS est. 1.32.
1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+9.5%
Biggest drop
-16.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | beat | 1.30 | 1.32 | +1.8% | +1.5% | +0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2026-07-14 | beat | 1.23 | 1.32 | +7.1% | +2.1% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | beat | 1.16 | 1.24 | +6.6% | -4.3% | -2.5% | -3.4% |
| 2026-01-21 | beat | 1.13 | 1.20 | +6.4% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -5.6% |
| 2025-10-14 | beat | 0.99 | 1.16 | +17.4% | -3.1% | -1.8% | -3.9% |
| 2025-07-14 | beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.7% | -3.8% | -6.6% | -9.9% |
| 2025-04-15 | beat | 0.83 | 0.84 | +1.0% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +7.3% |
| 2025-01-22 | beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +12.6% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +2.9% |
| 2024-10-15 | beat | 0.99 | 1.31 | +31.8% | +1.3% | +2.1% | -0.9% |
| 2024-07-16 | beat | 0.92 | 0.99 | +7.8% | -4.1% | +0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2024-04-16 | beat | 0.85 | 1.03 | +20.6% | +4.1% | -0.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-01-24 | beat | 0.73 | 0.77 | +5.5% | +1.9% | -1.8% | -5.2% |
| 2023-10-17 | beat | 0.73 | 0.80 | +9.3% | -1.3% | -3.4% | -3.7% |
| 2023-07-18 | beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +18.0% | -0.7% | +2.6% | +6.8% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +1.8% | +0.9% | -2.7% | -5.2% |
| 2023-01-25 | miss | 0.80 | 0.70 | -12.4% | -0.8% | -6.5% | -2.9% |
| 2022-10-18 | beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +15.4% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +4.9% |
| 2022-07-19 | beat | 0.75 | 0.91 | +21.3% | +3.1% | +2.0% | +4.9% |
| 2022-04-19 | beat | 0.63 | 0.94 | +49.0% | +3.5% | +9.5% | -0.3% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 0.63 | 0.82 | +30.2% | -3.4% | -2.6% | -4.4% |
| 2021-10-19 | beat | 0.72 | 0.96 | +33.3% | -0.4% | -3.4% | -5.5% |
| 2021-07-19 | beat | 0.63 | 1.02 | +63.6% | +1.2% | +7.8% | +6.9% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 0.56 | 1.03 | +83.9% | +0.4% | +6.2% | +5.7% |
| 2021-01-25 | beat | 0.54 | 0.73 | +35.9% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 0.43 | 0.60 | +39.5% | +0.8% | +8.4% | +9.0% |
| 2020-07-21 | miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -16.8% | -2.5% | -7.1% | -6.5% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.46 | 0.08 | -82.3% | -6.0% | -8.6% | -26.1% |
| 2020-01-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +7.0% | +5.0% | +2.4% | -1.9% |
| 2019-10-21 | beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.6% | +6.3% | +2.6% | +4.1% |
| 2019-07-22 | miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.6% | +2.0% | +5.2% | +9.5% |
| 2019-04-22 | miss | 0.65 | -0.23 | -135.7% | -4.3% | -16.2% | -10.9% |
| 2019-01-23 | miss | 0.73 | 0.66 | -9.4% | -3.2% | -6.2% | -7.4% |
| 2018-10-16 | miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -6.0% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -17.6% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +2.1% | -0.6% | -2.9% | -8.2% |
| 2018-04-19 | miss | 0.65 | 0.61 | -6.0% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| 2018-01-25 | miss | 0.53 | 0.44 | -16.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2017-10-19 | miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -6.0% | +1.0% | -4.0% | -3.8% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +3.7% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -1.1% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.7% | -1.6% | +0.0% | +0.2% |
| 2017-01-26 | miss | 0.35 | 0.26 | -26.8% | -1.4% | +0.3% | -2.1% |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 0.38 | 0.32 | -14.7% | -0.2% | +1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2016-07-21 | miss | 0.38 | 0.34 | -10.5% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +8.1% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.29 | 0.41 | +40.7% | +3.3% | +3.7% | +3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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