ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.82 +4.8% · Seasonal tilt (3y) -0.1%
$80M/day volume
46% volatility
-42% 1-year
-48% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -48% from the high
$62.74$137.42
Congressional trades in ESAB Full tracker →
1 member · 3 buys / 0 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Aug 18, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.33.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+12.7%
Biggest drop
-17.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 17 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | 1.38 | 1.33 | -3.6% | -0.5% | +2.2% | -7.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 1.34 | 1.31 | -1.9% | -1.5% | +0.8% | -10.2% |
| 2026-02-20 | beat | 1.34 | 1.35 | +0.7% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 1.27 | 1.32 | +3.7% | -3.0% | -5.6% | -7.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 1.35 | 1.36 | +1.0% | -1.8% | -17.2% | -13.3% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +3.6% | +3.3% | -1.6% | +4.8% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | 1.16 | 1.28 | +9.9% | -2.7% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 1.12 | 1.25 | +11.4% | +3.9% | +12.7% | +13.7% |
| 2024-08-02 | beat | 1.27 | 1.32 | +4.1% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -3.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 1.10 | 1.20 | +8.7% | +1.5% | -4.4% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-29 | beat | 1.04 | 1.13 | +8.5% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +3.0% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.95 | 1.08 | +14.0% | +5.4% | +9.1% | +18.6% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 1.04 | 1.21 | +16.5% | +0.6% | +6.8% | +4.8% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.93 | 1.04 | +11.8% | +3.4% | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2023-03-07 | beat | 0.91 | 1.05 | +15.7% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +2.4% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.84 | 0.92 | +9.2% | +2.5% | +5.0% | +15.3% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 1.01 | 1.08 | +6.9% | -1.2% | -3.7% | +2.7% |
Posted about ESAB
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TRACKER - Thomas H. Kean Jr. · Congress
long
78.89
Wed, 19 Aug
Thomas H. Kean Jr.'s trade date was 7 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - Thomas H. Kean Jr. · Congress
long
91.81
Thu, 16 Jul
Thomas H. Kean Jr.'s trade date was 22 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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