ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -2.8% median,
37% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 72
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.49%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.14 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$2M/day volume
42% volatility
+20% 1-year
52-week range · 57% of the way up · -16% from the high
$51.00$79.67
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, before open, in 15 days) · EPS est. 4.11.
1-day std dev
9.3%
Finished up
35%
Biggest pop
+39.9%
Biggest drop
-25.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | 4.24 | 4.70 | +10.8% | +0.0% | -1.2% | +0.7% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 4.29 | 4.70 | +9.6% | +3.5% | +5.2% | -10.5% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.2% | -4.5% | +0.9% | +9.7% |
| 2025-11-18 | miss | 4.28 | 4.23 | -1.1% | +0.4% | -9.4% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | 3.47 | 4.20 | +20.9% | +4.4% | +10.0% | +22.5% |
| 2025-06-18 | beat | 3.10 | 3.76 | +21.2% | +8.8% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 3.31 | 3.33 | +0.6% | +1.2% | -1.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-11-20 | beat | 3.55 | 3.92 | +10.3% | +1.7% | -6.7% | -9.9% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 2.85 | 4.92 | +72.6% | +8.4% | +10.9% | +25.1% |
| 2024-05-23 | miss | 3.02 | 2.66 | -11.9% | -3.5% | +0.0% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 3.85 | 3.61 | -6.2% | -8.4% | -1.2% | +4.9% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | 3.01 | 4.07 | +35.2% | +3.0% | -1.9% | +10.6% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 1.80 | 4.17 | +131.7% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +12.9% |
| 2023-05-16 | beat | 2.74 | 4.10 | +49.9% | +2.5% | +4.7% | +9.2% |
| 2023-02-15 | miss | 3.52 | 2.50 | -29.0% | -2.2% | -5.6% | -1.8% |
| 2022-11-14 | miss | 3.47 | 2.90 | -16.3% | -1.0% | -5.5% | -8.6% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | 3.80 | 4.08 | +7.4% | +2.4% | -4.9% | -13.7% |
| 2022-05-23 | beat | 3.60 | 3.70 | +2.8% | +3.7% | +8.2% | +18.8% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | 3.23 | 3.17 | -1.9% | +0.2% | -3.1% | -18.8% |
| 2021-11-16 | miss | 1.41 | 1.16 | -17.4% | -10.3% | -19.0% | -24.4% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | 0.90 | 1.12 | +25.1% | +1.6% | -1.9% | -3.0% |
| 2021-05-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +8.4% | -4.5% | -7.2% | +6.4% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | 0.04 | -0.16 | -557.1% | -3.1% | -12.6% | -19.0% |
| 2020-11-19 | miss | -0.13 | -0.26 | -92.6% | -18.8% | -17.3% | -5.0% |
| 2020-08-11 | beat | -0.11 | 0.25 | +317.4% | -2.9% | -4.7% | -13.6% |
| 2020-05-27 | beat | -0.36 | 0.17 | +146.6% | +63.4% | +39.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | -0.20 | -0.32 | -60.0% | -11.5% | -7.1% | -18.6% |
| 2019-11-25 | beat | -0.36 | -0.16 | +55.6% | +4.3% | +2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.40 | -1.12 | -180.0% | -1.8% | +0.0% | -3.6% |
| 2019-05-28 | beat | -0.64 | -0.32 | +50.0% | -4.3% | -8.6% | -8.6% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | -0.08 | -0.56 | -600.0% | -8.6% | -10.0% | -11.4% |
| 2018-11-15 | miss | 0.24 | -0.80 | -433.3% | -28.5% | -25.4% | -37.0% |
| 2018-08-10 | beat | 0.24 | 0.32 | +33.3% | +10.1% | +3.2% | +4.4% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | 1.28 | -2.72 | -312.5% | -3.9% | -10.9% | +4.8% |
| 2018-03-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.80 | +66.7% | +6.2% | +2.1% | +8.3% |
| 2017-11-10 | beat | -1.00 | -0.48 | +52.0% | +6.5% | -9.2% | -8.8% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | -0.24 | -1.04 | -333.3% | -2.3% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2017-05-12 | miss | -1.20 | -2.32 | -93.3% | +11.1% | -9.5% | +2.4% |
| 2017-02-16 | miss | -1.04 | -3.60 | -246.2% | -7.9% | -7.9% | -22.6% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -4.32 | -3.20 | +25.9% | -14.0% | +16.5% | +127.3% |
| 2016-08-11 | miss | -0.88 | -4.08 | -363.6% | +0.0% | -14.5% | -20.4% |
| 2016-05-24 | miss | -2.00 | -3.04 | -52.0% | +1.8% | -11.0% | -16.7% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | -3.52 | -2.88 | +18.2% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -8.7% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | -4.16 | -2.08 | +50.0% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -6.40 | -5.20 | +18.8% | -4.3% | -5.6% | -5.1% |
| 2015-05-20 | miss | -4.80 | -8.00 | -66.7% | +0.0% | +4.0% | -1.3% |
| 2015-02-13 | miss | -4.80 | -5.60 | -16.7% | -1.4% | +2.7% | +4.1% |
| 2014-11-10 | -5.60 | -5.60 | — | +0.0% | +0.0% | -4.9% | |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -3.20 | -7.20 | -125.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +3.6% |
| 2014-05-20 | beat | -7.20 | -4.00 | +44.4% | +3.3% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2014-02-20 | miss | -7.20 | -13.60 | -88.9% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2013-11-12 | miss | -7.20 | -8.80 | -22.2% | +0.0% | -11.5% | -11.5% |
| 2013-08-12 | miss | -4.80 | -9.60 | -100.0% | -1.0% | -1.9% | +1.9% |
| 2013-05-17 | miss | -4.00 | -8.00 | -100.0% | -7.3% | -5.6% | -8.1% |
| 2013-02-14 | miss | -2.40 | -3.20 | -33.3% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.8% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | -3.88 | -0.80 | +79.4% | +3.6% | +1.8% | -1.8% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | -3.53 | -3.20 | +9.3% | +6.0% | +7.7% | +0.0% |
| 2012-05-15 | beat | -3.24 | — | +100.0% | -9.0% | -6.9% | -10.3% |
| 2012-02-09 | beat | 1.88 | 3.20 | +70.3% | +7.9% | +5.0% | +7.2% |
| 2011-11-09 | beat | 2.56 | 4.80 | +87.2% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.9% |
Not investment advice.
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