ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+6.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +9.2% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 89
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.18%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.17 +5.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$145M/day volume
47% volatility
+35% 1-year
-27% from ATH
52-week range · 49% of the way up · -27% from the high
$22.86$49.25
Congressional trades in ESI Full tracker →
2 members · 6 buys / 1 sells · $49K–$210K disclosed · latest filing Dec 29, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-16 (Tuesday, after close, in 111 days) · EPS est. 0.47.
1-day std dev
4.4%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+12.3%
Biggest drop
-10.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.9% | -2.3% | -8.9% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.0% | +1.5% | -3.5% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.1% | +4.9% | +9.7% | +14.1% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.5% | +6.1% | +4.3% | +11.1% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.2% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.9% | -2.2% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.2% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.9% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -1.1% |
| 2024-10-28 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-29 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -8.8% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.9% | -1.3% | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-02-20 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.1% | -6.5% | -2.0% | -0.6% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.9% | +8.7% | +3.9% | +5.4% |
| 2023-07-26 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.7% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +4.4% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.4% | -1.5% | +1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.1% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +6.2% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.9% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -7.5% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.1% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.2% | +1.6% | +6.4% | +5.7% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.9% | +1.6% | -0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +18.5% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +19.0% | +2.3% | +3.9% | +8.8% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +9.3% | -1.9% | -5.3% | -1.2% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +8.8% | -2.3% | -4.1% | -0.4% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +29.4% | +0.1% | -5.2% | -2.6% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +24.9% | +3.7% | +3.7% | +2.9% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.3% | +5.0% | +1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +21.8% | +4.5% | -0.6% | +4.6% |
| 2019-08-02 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +9.2% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +2.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +8.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -14.7% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -3.2% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -23.5% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.8% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +7.8% | -2.4% | +0.9% | +5.7% |
| 2018-02-27 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.3% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +5.7% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -2.3% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.7% | -2.2% | -5.7% | -8.7% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +16.4% | +2.2% | -1.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +18.0% | +3.4% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2016-11-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +23.2% | +11.5% | +8.1% | +16.6% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.16 | -19.1% | +8.2% | +2.5% | -3.8% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.6% | +10.0% | +12.3% | +9.1% |
| 2016-03-11 | beat | 0.13 | 0.52 | +306.7% | -0.6% | +4.4% | +4.7% |
| 2015-11-10 | miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -40.0% | -0.6% | -4.8% | +1.9% |
| 2015-08-13 | miss | 0.31 | 0.25 | -18.1% | -5.7% | -10.4% | -16.0% |
| 2015-05-12 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.2% | -1.8% | -4.0% | -1.5% |
| 2015-03-18 | miss | 0.20 | 0.14 | -29.6% | -1.1% | -0.3% | -6.6% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +26.7% | -1.2% | +2.1% | -1.6% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.5% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +2.1% |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +41.7% | +1.3% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
Not investment advice.
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