ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.9%
Next 1 week
+3.1%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.1% median,
42% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 10
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +2.62%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.31 +3.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$908321/day volume
61% volatility
-19% 1-year
-55% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -55% from the high
$7.84$19.94
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-23 (Monday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. 0.21.
1-day std dev
17.4%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+48.9%
Biggest drop
-16.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 22 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +3.5% | -6.0% | -14.4% | -18.8% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.16 | 0.01 | +106.4% | +4.7% | +8.2% | -0.5% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +46.2% | +28.7% | +33.5% | +51.4% |
| 2025-12-09 | miss | 0.38 | 0.25 | -33.3% | -2.8% | +1.7% | -2.8% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.1% | +0.2% | +7.4% | +1.7% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | 0.10 | -0.41 | -510.0% | -8.2% | -16.9% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | 0.10 | 0.05 | -50.0% | -12.4% | -3.6% | -0.3% |
| 2024-12-16 | beat | 0.12 | 0.40 | +233.3% | +6.3% | +17.6% | -11.8% |
| 2024-08-12 | beat | 0.10 | 1.06 | +960.0% | +18.8% | +37.4% | +61.3% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | 0.09 | -0.07 | -177.8% | -4.9% | -14.8% | -21.1% |
| 2024-02-12 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +33.3% | -22.5% | -12.7% | -6.3% |
| 2023-12-18 | beat | 0.09 | 0.34 | +277.8% | +21.1% | +48.9% | +61.4% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | 0.07 | 0.21 | +200.0% | +1.3% | +15.3% | +24.6% |
| 2023-05-31 | miss | 0.06 | -0.11 | -283.3% | +3.3% | +14.7% | +19.6% |
| 2023-02-13 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.0% | -10.6% | -6.6% | -7.7% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | 0.61 | 0.54 | -12.1% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -5.3% |
| 2021-05-12 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -20.0% | +3.4% | +3.4% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | -0.01 | -0.05 | -488.9% | +4.0% | -4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2020-12-11 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +148.8% | +3.0% | +0.0% | +15.0% |
| 2020-08-14 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -16.7% | -5.0% | -2.5% | +15.0% |
| 2020-05-14 | miss | -0.02 | -0.13 | -416.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020-02-13 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -144.0% | -8.6% | -8.6% | +2.2% |
Not investment advice.
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