ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +0.6% median,
51% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.88 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$2M/day volume
46% volatility
+36% 1-year
-29% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -29% from the high
$36.82$74.77
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-16 (Monday, before open, in 16 days) · EPS est. 0.91.
1-day std dev
4.4%
Finished up
36%
Biggest pop
+2.9%
Biggest drop
-10.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 11 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | beat | 0.96 | 1.15 | +19.8% | +1.1% | -2.3% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 0.80 | 0.99 | +23.8% | -5.0% | -8.7% | -5.7% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | 0.67 | 0.76 | +13.4% | +2.3% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2019-05-14 | miss | 0.45 | 0.39 | -13.3% | +1.3% | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2019-02-13 | miss | 0.31 | 0.09 | -71.0% | +1.6% | +2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2014-05-13 | beat | 0.12 | 0.31 | +158.3% | +0.1% | -4.9% | -3.1% |
| 2014-02-13 | miss | 0.47 | 0.05 | -89.4% | -8.2% | -10.5% | -11.1% |
| 2013-11-14 | miss | 0.54 | 0.46 | -14.8% | -1.0% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2013-09-12 | beat | 0.45 | 1.02 | +126.7% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2013-05-14 | miss | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.3% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +0.5% |
| 2013-02-13 | miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -4.0% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +4.0% |
Not investment advice.
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