ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.1% median,
75% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.50 +1.2%
$17M/day volume
32% volatility
+31% 1-year
-7% from ATH
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -7% from the high
$92.10$134.82
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, before open, in 82 days) · EPS est. 2.15.
1-day std dev
3.2%
Finished up
74%
Biggest pop
+8.5%
Biggest drop
-5.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 34 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 1.89 | 2.12 | +12.2% | +3.1% | +4.7% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 1.55 | 1.60 | +3.0% | -2.6% | -4.1% | +7.1% |
| 2026-04-23 | miss | 1.52 | 1.40 | -7.7% | +3.1% | +4.3% | -4.4% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 1.47 | 1.47 | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.9% | -8.6% |
| 2025-07-24 | 1.38 | 1.38 | — | -1.4% | +1.0% | -7.6% | |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 1.31 | 1.33 | +1.3% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-01-23 | miss | 1.38 | 1.37 | -0.5% | -1.4% | -3.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 1.31 | 1.34 | +2.3% | +2.7% | +4.6% | +6.0% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 1.19 | 1.25 | +4.8% | -0.7% | +3.2% | +3.8% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.17 | 1.20 | +2.6% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +0.6% | +9.2% | +1.7% | +2.0% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | 1.13 | 1.17 | +4.0% | +2.4% | +2.0% | +5.7% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +4.8% | -0.1% | +2.5% | -0.2% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +18.1% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +11.7% | +1.6% | +8.5% | +11.5% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.9% | +2.5% | +5.0% | +15.6% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.71 | 0.78 | +9.9% | +1.0% | +5.5% | +6.2% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.5% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -3.7% |
| 2022-01-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.2% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +4.7% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.6% | -0.8% | -1.2% | +5.4% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.8% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| 2021-01-25 | 0.51 | 0.51 | — | -2.0% | -2.2% | -13.3% | |
| 2020-10-23 | 0.48 | 0.48 | — | -1.2% | +5.2% | -7.4% | |
| 2020-07-24 | miss | 0.44 | 0.33 | -25.0% | -2.5% | -4.6% | -4.2% |
| 2020-04-24 | miss | 0.48 | 0.33 | -31.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% | +12.7% |
| 2019-10-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.3% | -2.0% | +5.6% | +7.9% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +9.8% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | +0.4% | +3.0% | +12.5% |
| 2019-01-25 | 0.37 | 0.37 | — | -1.0% | -1.7% | -1.6% | |
| 2018-10-25 | 0.33 | 0.33 | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | +4.4% | |
| 2018-07-25 | 0.29 | 0.29 | — | +0.0% | -5.5% | +0.0% | |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.0% | +1.1% | -2.2% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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