ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.2% median,
58% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.13 +0.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$17.4B market cap (#562 US)
$138M/day volume
20% volatility
-0% 1-year
-28% from ATH
52-week range · 35% of the way up · -14% from the high
$238.46$303.35
Congressional trades in ESS Full tracker →
5 members · 6 buys / 6 sells · $54K–$285K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 98 days) · EPS est. 1.51.
1-day std dev
2.4%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+6.0%
Biggest drop
-7.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 1.47 | 1.59 | +7.5% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 1.47 | 0.94 | -36.0% | -2.3% | -5.0% | -3.9% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 1.43 | 1.65 | +15.6% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -0.2% |
| 2026-02-04 | miss | 1.47 | 1.25 | -14.9% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 1.67 | 1.59 | -4.7% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.41 | 1.48 | +5.1% | -2.0% | -7.6% | -12.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 1.41 | 1.44 | +2.6% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-04 | miss | 1.36 | 0.65 | -52.5% | -1.4% | +3.0% | +1.1% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 1.35 | 1.34 | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2024-07-30 | miss | 1.45 | 1.43 | -0.8% | -1.1% | -0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 1.36 | 2.06 | +51.5% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 1.46 | 1.01 | -30.9% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | 1.44 | 1.37 | -5.2% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +4.2% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.39 | 1.58 | +13.5% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +5.3% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.31 | 1.46 | +10.9% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 1.40 | 1.37 | -2.5% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +3.9% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | 1.41 | 1.19 | -15.9% | -1.7% | -2.9% | -6.3% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 1.58 | 0.87 | -44.8% | -0.4% | +1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2022-04-26 | miss | 1.28 | 1.08 | -15.7% | -1.2% | -0.8% | -6.2% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 1.05 | 2.25 | +113.9% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -5.5% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 1.04 | 1.21 | +15.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.0% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 0.98 | 1.10 | +12.1% | -0.4% | -3.4% | -5.4% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.96 | 1.48 | +54.5% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +6.7% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 1.17 | 1.42 | +21.8% | +1.6% | +6.0% | +21.4% |
| 2020-08-03 | miss | 1.16 | 1.14 | -1.8% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +2.5% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 1.50 | 1.21 | -19.2% | -1.5% | +3.2% | -6.8% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 1.43 | 2.00 | +40.1% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +3.7% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.9% | -1.3% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.29 | 1.40 | +8.0% | +0.9% | +1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 1.21 | 1.31 | +8.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 1.14 | 1.76 | +54.7% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2018-10-29 | beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +2.1% | +1.0% | +3.5% | +0.7% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 1.16 | 1.52 | +30.7% | -0.1% | -2.8% | -0.6% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 1.06 | 1.38 | +30.8% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 1.18 | 1.59 | +34.8% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +5.4% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.05 | 1.21 | +15.6% | -0.1% | -3.3% | -2.1% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +3.9% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 1.08 | 1.40 | +29.8% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.97 | 2.98 | +207.0% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +9.1% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +6.9% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.84 | 1.10 | +31.3% | +0.4% | +6.0% | +4.5% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.67 | 1.19 | +78.7% | -0.3% | -1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.8% | -0.5% | -4.0% | -7.3% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.55 | 0.65 | +18.8% | -1.5% | -2.6% | -3.3% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +3.3% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.2% | +2.5% | +2.0% | +2.2% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.65 | +81.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.42 | +127.2% | +1.2% | +2.5% | +1.9% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | 0.85 | 0.49 | -42.2% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.1% | -0.3% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| 2014-01-30 | miss | 0.56 | 0.41 | -27.9% | -0.5% | +1.3% | +5.8% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.76 | 0.50 | -33.9% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.50 | 0.64 | +27.8% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.51 | 0.68 | +33.1% | -2.2% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 0.41 | 1.28 | +209.5% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.40 | 0.49 | +21.5% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -4.5% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.35 | 1.11 | +215.6% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -3.3% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 0.44 | 0.35 | -20.0% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.42 | +28.0% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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