ESModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 86
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.14 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (7y) +0.1%
$11.0B market cap (#959 US)
$181M/day volume
58% volatility
+20% 1-year
-44% from ATH
52-week range · 98% of the way up · -1% from the high
$42.05$108.00
Congressional trades in ESTC Full tracker →
3 members · 0 buys / 3 sells · $52K–$130K disclosed · latest filing Jun 23, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-19 (Thursday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. 0.81.
1-day std dev
14.2%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+37.1%
Biggest drop
-26.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 32 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | beat | 0.58 | 0.70 | +19.9% | +24.1% | +19.3% | +9.6% |
| 2026-05-28 | beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.4% | -6.4% | +12.3% | +7.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.0% | -10.5% | -15.4% | -12.7% |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +11.1% | -11.6% | -14.7% | -13.4% |
| 2025-08-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.60 | +43.4% | +7.5% | -3.1% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +25.9% | -15.4% | -12.1% | -6.1% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.47 | 0.63 | +34.4% | +11.6% | +14.9% | -6.2% |
| 2024-11-21 | beat | 0.38 | 0.59 | +54.7% | +24.9% | +14.8% | +20.1% |
| 2024-08-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +38.1% | -23.6% | -26.5% | -31.4% |
| 2024-05-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.6% | +14.8% | +11.7% | +20.1% |
| 2024-02-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +13.5% | -13.3% | -12.6% | -21.0% |
| 2023-11-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.37 | +51.3% | +22.2% | +37.1% | +44.1% |
| 2023-08-31 | beat | 0.11 | 0.25 | +120.6% | +17.5% | +20.0% | +28.8% |
| 2023-06-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.22 | +125.7% | -3.6% | +0.9% | -1.4% |
| 2023-03-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.17 | +219.6% | +8.3% | +9.5% | -9.1% |
| 2022-11-30 | beat | -0.10 | — | +100.0% | -11.8% | -6.6% | -11.5% |
| 2022-08-25 | beat | -0.17 | -0.15 | +13.4% | -5.3% | -2.4% | -3.8% |
| 2022-06-01 | beat | -0.21 | -0.16 | +25.2% | +6.7% | +18.9% | +22.7% |
| 2022-03-03 | beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +39.1% | +4.8% | -1.4% | -10.8% |
| 2021-12-01 | beat | -0.16 | -0.09 | +43.0% | -12.7% | -15.0% | -12.1% |
| 2021-08-25 | beat | -0.12 | 0.04 | +132.1% | +0.1% | -3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2021-06-02 | beat | -0.16 | -0.08 | +50.0% | +9.8% | +10.0% | +14.5% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | -0.15 | -0.04 | +73.2% | -6.0% | -16.0% | -21.5% |
| 2020-12-02 | beat | -0.20 | -0.03 | +85.2% | +8.9% | +12.6% | +18.5% |
| 2020-08-26 | beat | -0.18 | 0.06 | +133.4% | +4.0% | -1.6% | -9.8% |
| 2020-06-03 | beat | -0.31 | -0.12 | +61.2% | -6.9% | -3.8% | -11.4% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | -0.35 | -0.28 | +19.7% | -1.2% | +12.7% | +12.6% |
| 2019-12-04 | beat | -0.31 | -0.22 | +29.9% | -15.0% | -17.9% | -22.0% |
| 2019-08-28 | beat | -0.42 | -0.32 | +22.9% | +9.8% | +10.8% | +10.8% |
| 2019-06-05 | beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +1.7% | +0.8% | -2.0% | -8.0% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | -0.31 | -0.16 | +48.0% | -5.6% | -8.6% | -14.3% |
| 2018-12-04 | beat | -0.47 | -0.38 | +18.5% | +1.4% | +3.9% | +6.6% |
Not investment advice.
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