ETModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +13.9% median,
70% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 87
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.25%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.04 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.3%
$271M/day volume
51% volatility
+22% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 96% of the way up · -2% from the high
$44.00$94.49
Congressional trades in ETSY Full tracker →
2 members · 4 buys / 7 sells · $11K–$165K disclosed · latest filing Jun 11, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
11.9%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+23.7%
Biggest drop
-28.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 1.25 | — | — | +6.2% | +5.4% | — | |
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.73 | -0.36 | -149.1% | -4.5% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -3.8% | +6.0% | +10.1% | +2.8% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | 0.85 | 0.92 | +7.6% | +10.2% | +9.3% | +25.3% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 1.04 | 1.02 | -1.8% | -6.0% | -12.8% | -19.4% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 1.09 | 0.69 | -36.8% | +9.0% | +2.8% | -6.8% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.47 | -0.49 | -204.3% | +1.0% | -5.7% | -0.5% |
| 2025-02-19 | miss | 1.46 | 1.31 | -10.6% | -5.7% | -10.1% | -9.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 1.06 | 0.95 | -10.7% | +9.3% | +7.2% | +11.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.98 | 0.98 | +0.1% | -2.5% | -7.6% | -16.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 0.99 | 0.96 | -3.6% | -16.0% | -15.1% | -9.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 1.33 | 1.21 | -9.0% | -4.7% | -8.4% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.51 | 0.64 | +26.5% | -1.1% | +1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.90 | 1.47 | +64.1% | -9.2% | -13.7% | -18.6% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.90 | 0.96 | +7.0% | -2.5% | -6.5% | -2.6% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.7% | +2.6% | +2.4% | -7.8% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.77 | 1.07 | +38.3% | +4.3% | +14.3% | +25.9% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.51 | +57.2% | +5.4% | +9.9% | +14.5% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.75 | 0.92 | +23.1% | -13.8% | -16.8% | -19.6% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.96 | 1.43 | +49.1% | +14.6% | +16.2% | +18.3% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.68 | 0.90 | +31.0% | -1.5% | +13.2% | +5.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.74 | 0.87 | +17.1% | -13.4% | -9.7% | -4.4% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.92 | 1.07 | +17.0% | -9.5% | -14.6% | -15.2% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.70 | 1.15 | +65.8% | +13.4% | +11.5% | +1.4% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.67 | 0.93 | +38.0% | -1.0% | -5.2% | +2.9% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.82 | +70.9% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +14.7% | -4.9% | -2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +18.9% | +9.3% | +14.3% | +22.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +21.6% | -12.2% | -15.7% | -20.7% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +11.7% | -6.0% | -12.4% | -17.2% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +26.0% | -7.1% | -10.8% | -6.5% |
| 2019-02-25 | beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +19.9% | +10.5% | +16.3% | +19.7% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +56.7% | +14.4% | +23.7% | +18.0% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +34.0% | +17.3% | +3.3% | +8.7% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +70.7% | -2.3% | -4.6% | -6.4% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.13 | 0.23 | +81.0% | +14.2% | +20.4% | +24.1% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +149.7% | +2.6% | -1.7% | -3.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +162.9% | +14.0% | +11.5% | +19.4% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | -11.2% | -7.8% | +0.3% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -71.3% | -5.4% | -11.8% | -21.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +196.5% | +2.3% | -13.0% | -12.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -275.0% | +7.0% | +8.9% | +8.4% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +126.7% | +13.1% | +5.0% | -1.3% |
| 2016-02-23 | miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -48.0% | +15.0% | +6.9% | +20.7% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -78.0% | -4.5% | -9.6% | -18.8% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +8.7% | -18.8% | -28.3% | -12.2% |
| 2015-05-19 | — | -0.20 | — | -19.5% | -18.1% | -18.9% |
Not investment advice.
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