EYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -6.3% median,
45% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 11
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.13 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$11M/day volume
131% volatility
-97% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -98% from the high
$0.34$19.11
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.93.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+21.7%
Biggest drop
-28.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.96 | -1.09 | -13.9% | +1.8% | +5.0% | +15.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.81 | -0.99 | -22.5% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -2.3% |
| 2026-03-04 | miss | -0.75 | -0.81 | -8.0% | -3.8% | -1.7% | -18.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | -0.77 | -0.85 | -10.2% | -8.7% | -11.1% | -3.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | -0.80 | -0.85 | -6.0% | -9.8% | -2.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.69 | -0.65 | +5.8% | +2.1% | -2.6% | -12.2% |
| 2025-03-05 | miss | -0.48 | -0.64 | -34.3% | +4.1% | +8.2% | +20.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.54 | -0.54 | -0.2% | +2.7% | -4.1% | -13.2% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | -0.51 | -0.58 | -14.4% | +2.7% | -4.1% | -16.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | -0.42 | -0.55 | -29.5% | +0.0% | -2.6% | +9.0% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -0.48 | -0.33 | +31.9% | +2.6% | -1.7% | -15.5% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | -0.51 | -0.33 | +35.6% | +10.0% | +20.3% | +16.1% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.37 | -0.61 | -267.1% | -7.1% | +0.7% | +3.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | -0.65 | -0.56 | +14.5% | +13.7% | +21.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-03-02 | beat | -0.62 | -0.61 | +1.1% | +10.4% | -8.8% | -15.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -0.69 | -0.49 | +29.0% | +1.1% | -5.4% | -8.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | -0.55 | -0.52 | +4.6% | +0.9% | +10.1% | +19.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | -0.59 | -0.52 | +11.2% | +0.9% | +2.2% | -26.9% |
| 2022-03-03 | miss | -0.51 | -0.59 | -15.1% | +4.0% | +15.3% | +42.5% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.40 | -0.58 | -43.2% | -2.0% | +2.5% | +12.4% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.45 | -0.42 | +6.6% | -6.3% | +1.8% | +18.3% |
| 2021-05-05 | -0.50 | -0.50 | — | +0.7% | +4.2% | -15.3% | |
| 2021-03-04 | miss | -0.07 | -1.00 | -1369.8% | -5.3% | -17.2% | -9.1% |
| 2020-11-05 | -0.30 | -0.30 | — | +5.0% | -2.5% | +5.0% | |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -1.05 | -1.00 | +4.8% | +0.0% | -5.5% | -19.2% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.95 | -1.10 | -15.8% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -8.9% |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | -1.17 | -1.00 | +14.9% | +2.1% | -9.0% | -34.0% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -1.37 | -1.50 | -9.1% | -30.7% | -28.1% | -38.5% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -1.20 | -1.10 | +8.3% | +3.2% | +14.3% | +8.7% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -1.37 | -1.60 | -17.1% | -2.4% | -2.4% | +10.2% |
| 2018-09-12 | miss | -1.40 | -1.89 | -35.1% | -2.6% | -0.4% | +9.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -1.20 | -1.02 | +15.1% | -1.3% | +9.4% | -12.0% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | -1.50 | -1.30 | +13.3% | +3.8% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2017-11-07 | -1.50 | -1.50 | — | -7.1% | -7.9% | -3.2% | |
| 2017-09-11 | miss | -1.50 | -1.60 | -6.7% | -0.7% | -5.1% | -8.8% |
| 2017-05-04 | -1.50 | -1.50 | — | +4.8% | +17.3% | +23.8% | |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | -1.83 | — | +100.0% | +9.0% | +6.0% | +5.4% |
| 2016-11-07 | miss | -1.90 | -2.10 | -10.5% | +0.5% | -4.3% | -9.7% |
| 2016-09-12 | miss | -1.25 | -1.90 | -52.0% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -9.4% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -1.95 | -1.50 | +23.1% | -4.9% | +0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2016-02-08 | miss | -1.50 | -1.80 | -20.0% | -1.6% | -5.0% | -12.5% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | -1.50 | -1.70 | -13.3% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -4.6% |
| 2015-09-09 | miss | -1.37 | -1.70 | -24.4% | -1.3% | -1.8% | +2.6% |
| 2015-05-08 | miss | -1.27 | -1.70 | -34.2% | -1.4% | -10.7% | -8.6% |
| 2015-02-05 | miss | -1.27 | -1.40 | -10.5% | +1.8% | +3.6% | +8.0% |
| 2014-11-07 | beat | -1.20 | 6.70 | +658.3% | +5.4% | -4.3% | -0.3% |
| 2014-09-09 | beat | -1.60 | -1.36 | +15.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -13.8% |
| 2014-05-13 | beat | -1.50 | -0.79 | +47.2% | +9.1% | +7.9% | +8.5% |
| 2014-02-07 | miss | -1.30 | -1.33 | -2.3% | +2.2% | +0.4% | -2.7% |
| 2013-11-12 | beat | -1.50 | -1.40 | +6.7% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +7.4% |
| 2013-09-25 | miss | -1.20 | -1.70 | -41.7% | -3.6% | +0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2013-05-13 | beat | -1.30 | -1.20 | +7.7% | +3.1% | -2.4% | +2.8% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | -1.30 | -1.10 | +15.4% | -1.9% | -1.3% | +2.6% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -1.00 | -1.10 | -10.0% | +2.1% | +0.7% | -12.0% |
| 2012-09-24 | beat | -1.90 | -1.10 | +42.1% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | -1.75 | -1.30 | +25.7% | -0.4% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | -1.75 | -1.30 | +25.7% | -6.5% | +0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | -2.10 | -1.20 | +42.9% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -68.2% |
| 2011-09-12 | beat | -1.80 | -0.10 | +94.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.4% |
| 2011-05-10 | beat | -2.15 | -1.30 | +39.5% | +0.8% | +2.9% | -7.3% |
Not investment advice.
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