FBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
-0.0%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -0.1% median,
47% of the last 38 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.42 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt -1.1%
$44M/day volume
23% volatility
+36% 1-year
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -12% from the high
$19.19$29.88
Congressional trades in FBP Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, before open, in 88 days) · EPS est. 0.60.
1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+13.0%
Biggest drop
-5.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +7.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.3% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +14.8% | +2.2% | +4.4% | +4.6% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.0% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2026-01-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.8% | +0.6% | +5.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 0.49 | 0.63 | +29.7% | +2.2% | -2.6% | -5.1% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +9.4% | +0.7% | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.9% | -2.9% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +11.7% | +2.1% | +5.8% | +6.8% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +8.7% | -0.4% | -5.4% | -4.9% |
| 2024-07-23 | beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.0% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.6% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2024-01-24 | beat | 0.36 | 0.46 | +27.8% | +2.4% | +2.1% | +5.1% |
| 2023-10-20 | beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +20.3% | +1.5% | -4.2% | -3.8% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.4% | -1.1% | -2.2% | +5.4% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.4% | -2.5% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2023-01-27 | beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.6% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +6.4% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +1.3% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -2.3% |
| 2022-07-22 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +7.0% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +4.2% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +24.2% | +4.6% | +10.1% | +6.4% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +13.7% | -3.9% | -2.1% | -2.6% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +37.0% | +1.3% | +4.1% | -1.3% |
| 2021-07-23 | beat | 0.24 | 0.36 | +50.0% | +2.1% | +0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +30.7% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2021-01-29 | beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +24.0% | +0.7% | -5.4% | +0.4% |
| 2020-10-30 | miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -32.2% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +8.2% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +52.4% | +8.8% | +1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.17 | -0.03 | -118.2% | -6.0% | -5.7% | -18.0% |
| 2020-01-28 | 0.19 | 0.19 | — | +0.2% | -2.2% | -5.8% | |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +1.7% | +7.5% | +3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2019-07-23 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -6.9% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2019-04-24 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -2.7% | -2.4% | -3.6% | -3.0% |
| 2019-01-29 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +23.5% | -1.2% | +4.3% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +0.9% | -1.0% | +0.4% | +3.7% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.6% | -0.2% | -1.9% | +0.5% |
| 2018-04-27 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +61.1% | +1.7% | +5.0% | +6.3% |
| 2018-01-29 | beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +159.5% | +6.0% | +3.7% | +4.8% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.2% | +0.6% | -3.1% | -7.8% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +11.8% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +0.0% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.6% | -0.4% | +5.6% | +10.5% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +8.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -6.4% |
| 2016-10-25 | miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -13.0% | +3.2% | +2.5% | -4.9% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +2.9% | -2.1% | +1.9% | -5.2% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +55.5% | +2.3% | +5.9% | +3.4% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -20.3% | -4.3% | +13.0% | +6.5% |
| 2015-10-26 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -22.1% | -3.3% | -0.5% | -3.3% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | 0.11 | -0.15 | -230.6% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -9.3% |
| 2015-05-04 | miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -22.9% | -2.1% | -4.4% | +2.0% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +29.2% | +1.5% | +5.3% | +9.5% |
| 2014-10-27 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -6.3% | +0.2% | +8.9% | +9.1% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.1% | +0.5% | +0.2% | -9.7% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +21.1% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +7.4% |
| 2014-02-03 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -21.1% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +6.7% |
| 2013-10-23 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -5.8% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +3.0% |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -7.7% | -0.2% | -5.0% | -12.5% |
| 2013-05-03 | miss | 0.09 | -0.02 | -123.5% | -2.4% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2013-02-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +5.5% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +162.8% | +1.4% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | -0.03 | 0.05 | +280.0% | +4.6% | +3.3% | +2.5% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -39.0% | +0.5% | -2.6% | -4.3% |
| 2012-02-01 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | -1.1% | +2.2% | +19.5% |
Not investment advice.
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