FCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+9.1%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -3.3% median,
30% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 13
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.85 +9.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$110M/day volume
135% volatility
+37% 1-year
52-week range · 17% of the way up · -70% from the high
$5.71$37.88
Congressional trades in FCEL Full tracker →
3 members · 9 buys / 11 sells · $288K–$945K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-17 (Thursday, before open, in 45 days) · EPS est. -0.35.
1-day std dev
13.3%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+60.0%
Biggest drop
-24.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | -0.39 | — | — | -10.4% | -15.7% | -8.7% | |
| 2026-06-08 | miss | -0.43 | -0.53 | -21.8% | +0.8% | -10.6% | +1.0% |
| 2026-03-09 | beat | -0.68 | -0.52 | +23.1% | -8.9% | -2.9% | -9.1% |
| 2025-12-18 | beat | -1.03 | -0.93 | +9.7% | +17.6% | +22.0% | +7.3% |
| 2025-09-09 | beat | -1.63 | -1.02 | +37.5% | +0.7% | +22.7% | +60.9% |
| 2025-06-06 | miss | -1.38 | -1.75 | -26.4% | +5.0% | +24.4% | +16.0% |
| 2025-03-11 | miss | -1.35 | -1.44 | -6.2% | -5.2% | +3.6% | -12.0% |
| 2024-12-19 | miss | -1.60 | -1.99 | -24.2% | -0.2% | -5.0% | +2.2% |
| 2024-09-05 | beat | -2.27 | -1.94 | +14.3% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +9.8% |
| 2024-06-10 | beat | -2.12 | -2.10 | +0.9% | -1.1% | +12.6% | -8.0% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -2.15 | -1.25 | +42.2% | -1.6% | -9.0% | -18.0% |
| 2023-12-19 | beat | -2.51 | -2.35 | +6.4% | -5.9% | -4.6% | +16.3% |
| 2023-09-11 | miss | -2.27 | -2.81 | -23.5% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -18.8% |
| 2023-06-08 | miss | -2.21 | -2.70 | -21.9% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +13.4% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | -2.11 | -1.50 | +29.1% | +8.5% | +1.8% | -6.4% |
| 2022-12-20 | miss | -1.96 | -3.30 | -68.4% | -4.9% | -18.7% | -21.8% |
| 2022-09-08 | miss | -1.85 | -2.40 | -29.5% | -4.0% | -4.5% | +6.5% |
| 2022-06-09 | miss | -1.56 | -2.36 | -51.3% | -10.1% | -6.6% | -20.1% |
| 2022-03-10 | miss | -1.42 | -1.42 | -0.4% | -0.9% | +9.8% | +1.3% |
| 2021-12-29 | miss | -1.16 | -1.63 | -41.3% | -12.6% | -12.9% | -9.4% |
| 2021-09-14 | beat | -1.60 | -1.20 | +25.0% | +10.3% | +14.6% | +6.8% |
| 2021-06-10 | miss | -1.40 | -1.80 | -28.4% | -11.4% | -10.7% | -19.9% |
| 2021-03-16 | miss | -1.35 | -1.80 | -33.6% | -13.1% | -9.5% | -18.1% |
| 2021-01-21 | miss | -1.95 | -2.56 | -31.3% | -5.5% | +3.2% | +31.1% |
| 2020-09-10 | miss | -1.90 | -2.23 | -17.6% | -4.9% | -17.5% | -6.5% |
| 2020-06-12 | beat | -2.00 | -1.73 | +13.3% | +22.4% | +7.1% | -13.7% |
| 2020-03-16 | beat | -2.50 | -1.34 | +46.4% | -12.2% | +0.9% | +11.3% |
| 2020-01-22 | miss | -3.30 | -3.59 | -8.8% | -25.0% | -22.9% | -39.9% |
| 2019-09-09 | beat | -31.65 | -5.40 | +82.9% | +25.0% | +60.0% | +0.0% |
| 2019-06-17 | miss | -55.20 | -61.80 | -12.0% | -9.1% | -6.1% | -51.5% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -63.36 | -118.80 | -87.5% | -10.4% | -10.4% | -22.9% |
| 2019-01-10 | miss | -67.20 | -68.40 | -1.8% | +7.1% | -1.8% | -3.6% |
| 2018-09-06 | miss | -67.50 | -72.00 | -6.7% | -6.7% | -4.2% | -9.2% |
| 2018-06-07 | miss | -54.90 | -82.80 | -50.8% | -3.6% | -9.4% | -7.8% |
| 2018-03-08 | beat | -60.00 | -57.21 | +4.7% | +4.7% | +5.3% | +0.0% |
| 2018-01-11 | beat | -71.10 | -61.20 | +13.9% | +13.5% | +8.6% | +3.8% |
| 2017-09-07 | miss | -82.80 | -111.60 | -34.8% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +2.0% |
| 2017-06-08 | miss | -97.20 | -118.62 | -22.0% | -2.8% | -3.7% | +3.7% |
| 2017-03-09 | miss | -114.00 | -125.75 | -10.3% | +0.0% | -6.7% | -8.0% |
| 2017-01-12 | miss | -126.00 | -147.60 | -17.1% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -12.8% |
| 2016-09-07 | beat | -139.20 | -136.80 | +1.7% | -5.1% | +0.6% | -3.8% |
| 2016-06-08 | miss | -142.56 | -201.60 | -41.4% | -7.1% | -16.6% | -27.5% |
| 2016-03-09 | miss | -127.54 | -172.80 | -35.5% | -9.8% | -12.2% | +9.2% |
| 2015-12-14 | miss | -99.00 | -136.80 | -38.2% | +0.5% | -13.2% | -13.9% |
| 2015-09-08 | beat | -100.80 | -86.40 | +14.3% | +1.1% | +3.3% | +3.3% |
| 2015-06-08 | miss | -100.80 | -172.80 | -71.4% | -9.1% | -5.0% | -13.2% |
| 2015-03-10 | beat | -100.80 | -86.40 | +14.3% | +2.3% | +2.3% | -3.1% |
| 2014-12-15 | -86.40 | -86.40 | — | +3.9% | +3.2% | +3.2% | |
| 2014-09-08 | miss | -118.80 | -129.60 | -9.1% | -10.9% | -9.4% | -14.2% |
| 2014-06-03 | miss | -140.40 | -172.80 | -23.1% | -14.3% | -7.6% | -9.7% |
| 2014-03-10 | miss | -162.00 | -172.80 | -6.7% | +18.6% | -16.5% | -30.0% |
| 2013-12-16 | miss | -144.00 | -216.00 | -50.0% | -12.9% | -24.2% | -28.0% |
| 2013-09-04 | -129.60 | -129.60 | — | +13.8% | +10.6% | +5.7% | |
| 2013-06-05 | beat | -194.40 | -172.80 | +11.1% | +10.2% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2013-03-11 | miss | -162.00 | -302.40 | -86.7% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -4.8% |
| 2012-12-20 | miss | -207.36 | -216.00 | -4.2% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -8.9% |
| 2012-09-05 | miss | -190.08 | -259.20 | -36.4% | -9.0% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
| 2012-06-05 | miss | -201.60 | -259.20 | -28.6% | -12.9% | -14.5% | -17.7% |
| 2012-03-12 | beat | -276.48 | -216.00 | +21.9% | +6.7% | +7.3% | +16.7% |
| 2011-12-12 | beat | -309.60 | -259.20 | +16.3% | -3.7% | -15.6% | -15.6% |
Not investment advice.
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