FCF

First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ $21.00 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +2.3% median, 70% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 56
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.23 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$17M/day volume 19% volatility +36% 1-year -6% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -6% from the high
$15.00$22.34

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-26 (Tuesday, after close, in 87 days) · EPS est. 0.48.

1-day std dev
4.0%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+8.3%
Biggest drop
-17.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-27 miss 0.46 0.45 -1.6% -0.1% -0.9% —
2026-07-28 beat 0.42 0.44 +3.9% +2.2% +2.0% +1.5%
2026-04-28 miss 0.40 0.37 -7.5% +0.4% +1.3% -0.2%
2026-01-27 beat 0.42 0.43 +3.2% +2.8% -0.6% +6.7%
2025-10-28 miss 0.41 0.39 -4.9% -3.1% -5.5% -3.5%
2025-07-29 beat 0.35 0.38 +9.1% +2.7% +1.7% +2.9%
2025-04-29 miss 0.32 0.32 -0.4% +1.8% +1.6% +2.2%
2025-01-28 miss 0.35 0.35 -0.4% -3.0% -3.9% +1.1%
2024-10-29 miss 0.36 0.31 -12.8% -1.3% -0.4% +13.9%
2024-07-23 beat 0.35 0.36 +2.4% -1.4% +3.0% +7.7%
2024-04-23 beat 0.36 0.37 +3.2% +1.7% +2.2% -0.8%
2024-01-30 beat 0.39 0.44 +12.4% -0.7% -6.2% -11.7%
2023-10-24 miss 0.40 0.39 -2.5% -2.2% -2.9% +3.0%
2023-07-25 beat 0.41 0.42 +2.1% +4.8% +4.3% +2.7%
2023-04-25 beat 0.39 0.45 +14.1% -1.9% +0.3% -0.3%
2023-01-24 miss 0.43 0.39 -9.6% -1.0% -7.1% +6.5%
2022-10-25 miss 0.38 0.37 -1.3% -1.4% -2.8% +0.7%
2022-07-26 beat 0.33 0.33 +0.4% +0.4% +3.1% +2.3%
2022-04-26 miss 0.29 0.29 -1.0% -3.0% -3.9% -4.6%
2022-01-25 beat 0.32 0.37 +14.3% -2.3% -3.4% +0.1%
2021-10-26 beat 0.32 0.36 +14.3% +2.3% +0.5% +9.9%
2021-07-27 miss 0.34 0.31 -8.1% +1.0% -1.4% -3.1%
2021-04-27 beat 0.29 0.41 +43.5% +1.7% +0.7% +4.9%
2021-01-26 beat 0.23 0.27 +15.7% -2.1% -6.2% -2.7%
2020-10-27 beat 0.24 0.24 +1.8% -1.4% -2.9% -4.8%
2020-07-28 beat 0.09 0.24 +157.2% +4.3% +8.3% +5.8%
2020-04-28 miss 0.19 0.05 -73.9% +2.2% -1.4% -10.7%
2020-01-28 miss 0.28 0.27 -4.1% -2.4% -3.0% +2.8%
2019-10-29 beat 0.28 0.30 +6.6% +2.0% +2.5% +2.5%
2019-07-23 beat 0.27 0.28 +2.4% +1.0% +2.1% +4.3%
2019-04-23 miss 0.26 0.25 -2.3% -0.9% -2.5% +2.5%
2019-01-29 beat 0.27 0.27 +1.1% +4.0% +1.1% +1.9%
2018-10-23 miss 0.28 0.25 -10.3% -3.5% -17.9% -7.8%
2018-07-24 beat 0.26 0.29 +12.8% +2.1% +4.5% +4.3%
2018-04-24 beat 0.23 0.24 +2.6% +0.2% +1.9% +2.0%
2018-01-23 beat 0.17 0.21 +20.7% +0.5% -0.7% -3.4%
2017-10-25 beat 0.20 0.22 +8.9% +0.4% -0.4% +2.6%
2017-07-26 beat 0.19 0.21 +13.5% -1.2% -2.8% -1.5%
2017-04-25 beat 0.17 0.18 +5.9% +1.2% +1.4% -1.5%
2017-01-25 beat 0.18 0.22 +25.4% +1.7% +3.9% +2.2%
2016-10-26 beat 0.17 0.19 +9.2% +0.7% -0.7% +0.1%
2016-07-27 miss 0.16 0.14 -12.5% -2.5% +0.6% +2.3%
2016-04-26 miss 0.15 0.14 -7.7% -0.4% +1.7% -2.0%
2016-01-27 miss 0.16 0.11 -30.1% -3.7% -1.0% +3.4%
2015-10-28 miss 0.16 0.14 -10.2% -1.6% +2.2% +1.0%
2015-07-29 miss 0.15 0.15 -0.7% +1.2% +0.3% +2.5%
2015-04-28 beat 0.14 0.16 +10.9% -2.2% +3.0% +1.7%
2015-01-28 miss 0.15 0.13 -12.7% +0.8% -8.0% -2.2%
2014-10-29 miss 0.14 0.13 -10.0% +0.3% -0.5% +2.7%
2014-07-23 miss 0.14 0.13 -9.4% +0.3% -0.6% -0.5%
2014-04-22 miss 0.14 0.13 -4.8% +0.3% +0.6% -1.7%
2014-01-29 miss 0.13 0.10 -24.2% -0.5% -3.3% -4.6%
2013-10-23 beat 0.11 0.16 +43.2% +1.4% +3.7% +8.7%
2013-07-24 miss 0.12 0.06 -49.4% -4.8% -5.7% -7.2%
2013-04-23 beat 0.11 0.11 +2.3% +0.4% +0.9% +4.2%
2013-01-30 miss 0.11 0.09 -21.4% -0.9% -5.1% -4.1%
2012-10-24 miss 0.12 0.09 -22.4% +0.1% -3.2% -4.7%
2012-07-25 beat 0.10 0.12 +21.7% +1.9% -2.2% -0.3%
2012-04-24 beat 0.09 0.11 +24.6% +0.3% +5.8% +9.5%
2012-01-25 miss 0.09 -0.05 -154.5% -3.1% -0.7% -1.7%

Not investment advice.