FEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
-0.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.0% median,
61% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.10 -0.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$26.7B market cap (#479 US)
$215M/day volume
16% volatility
-0% 1-year
-45% from ATH
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -11% from the high
$42.67$52.34
Congressional trades in FE Full tracker →
6 members · 8 buys / 6 sells · $14K–$210K disclosed · latest filing Jul 17, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-16 (Tuesday, after close, in 110 days) · EPS est. 0.62.
1-day std dev
2.9%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+7.6%
Biggest drop
-10.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 0.90 | 0.98 | +8.9% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.5% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -3.7% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.6% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -8.1% |
| 2026-02-17 | miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +7.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.9% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +13.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.69 | 0.67 | -2.8% | -5.2% | -10.5% | -11.1% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 0.90 | 0.85 | -6.0% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -2.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.8% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +4.5% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +3.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -7.2% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.6% | +0.1% | -3.2% | -3.5% |
| 2023-02-13 | miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -4.8% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.6% | +0.7% | -3.2% | +1.1% |
| 2022-07-26 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2022-04-21 | miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -2.6% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -10.0% |
| 2022-02-10 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.0% | +1.4% | +0.3% | -1.1% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.6% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.4% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -2.1% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +2.1% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +4.3% |
| 2021-02-18 | miss | 0.43 | 0.32 | -25.7% | -1.1% | +7.2% | +4.9% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.0% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +4.3% | +2.0% | +7.6% | +5.8% |
| 2020-04-23 | beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +5.1% | -7.1% | -1.7% | -5.1% |
| 2020-02-07 | beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +10.5% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.7% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.1% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2019-04-23 | miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -1.8% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +3.0% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.4% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +11.0% | +0.4% | -3.1% | -2.0% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +18.2% | +1.3% | +2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2018-04-23 | miss | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| 2018-02-20 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.1% | +2.2% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.6% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +3.1% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.0% | -0.4% | +2.9% | +2.6% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +9.0% | +0.5% | -1.9% | -5.5% |
| 2017-02-21 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -4.5% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2016-11-04 | beat | 0.78 | 0.90 | +15.3% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -5.0% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.1% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -8.3% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.7% | +1.4% | +4.8% | -2.2% |
| 2016-02-16 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.4% | -0.8% | -3.6% | -2.3% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.88 | 0.98 | +11.1% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -5.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.8% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +3.9% |
| 2015-05-01 | beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +19.3% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -2.3% |
| 2015-02-17 | beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.9% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -2.9% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.6% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -0.4% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.1% | -2.9% | +2.8% | +4.0% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.2% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| 2014-02-25 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.6% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -3.4% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +1.5% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.9% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -0.2% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.4% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2013-02-25 | miss | 0.80 | 0.80 | -0.4% | +0.1% | -2.4% | -1.7% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +4.1% | +0.2% | +1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | 0.65 | 0.60 | -7.7% | +1.1% | -6.4% | -6.5% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.4% | -0.1% | +1.2% | +0.5% |
| 2012-02-28 | miss | 0.87 | 0.77 | -11.0% | -0.5% | +1.1% | +1.9% |
Posted about FE
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TRACKER - Dan Newhouse · Congress
long
48.54
Mon, 20 Jul
Dan Newhouse's trade date was 10 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,…
Not investment advice.
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