FEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+5.3%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -2.9% median,
42% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 20
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.82 +6.8% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$19M/day volume
96% volatility
+82% 1-year
-25% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -25% from the high
$26.05$89.76
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-10 (Thursday, after close, in 39 days) · EPS est. 0.20.
1-day std dev
14.3%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+42.4%
Biggest drop
-21.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 20 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | beat | 0.15 | 0.41 | +173.3% | +33.1% | +42.4% | +37.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | miss | 0.27 | -0.11 | -143.2% | -14.0% | -5.3% | +23.6% |
| 2026-03-11 | miss | 0.31 | 0.16 | -47.5% | +2.6% | -15.7% | -22.6% |
| 2025-12-11 | miss | 0.30 | 0.18 | -39.0% | -1.1% | +28.8% | +33.4% |
| 2025-09-11 | miss | 0.36 | 0.07 | -80.6% | -8.4% | -21.0% | -10.5% |
| 2025-07-10 | beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +25.9% | -8.4% | -13.4% | -5.3% |
| 2015-03-11 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -37.5% | -4.8% | -4.9% | -1.8% |
| 2014-12-10 | beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +66.7% | +0.8% | +9.4% | +0.7% |
| 2014-09-10 | miss | 0.14 | 0.08 | -42.9% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2014-07-10 | miss | 0.16 | 0.09 | -43.8% | -0.5% | +1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2014-03-10 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +27.3% | +1.0% | -0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2013-12-11 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +45.5% | +0.0% | -2.3% | -2.1% |
| 2013-09-12 | miss | 0.16 | 0.08 | -50.0% | +1.4% | -1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2013-07-18 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -10.7% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -5.6% |
| 2012-12-12 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -4.5% | -1.5% | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| 2012-03-07 | miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -23.5% | +2.8% | +4.5% | +4.8% |
| 2011-12-12 | miss | 0.16 | 0.09 | -42.3% | -0.3% | -7.0% | -8.8% |
| 2011-09-13 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +49.5% | +1.8% | -1.4% | -7.6% |
| 2011-07-13 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +19.4% | +14.5% | +8.2% | +15.9% |
| 2011-03-09 | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | +0.4% | +12.3% | +30.2% |
Not investment advice.
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