FEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +11.1% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.40%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.38 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.1%
$1M/day volume
66% volatility
+21% 1-year
-32% from ATH
52-week range · 60% of the way up · -23% from the high
$5.65$13.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. 0.11.
1-day std dev
10.2%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+36.5%
Biggest drop
-26.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +127.3% | +11.2% | +16.8% | +8.5% |
| 2026-05-14 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +160.0% | +6.4% | +36.5% | +47.3% |
| 2026-03-24 | miss | 0.04 | -0.10 | -350.2% | -8.9% | -19.2% | -17.4% |
| 2025-11-13 | beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +20.0% | +13.8% | +2.2% | +2.5% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -266.7% | -21.3% | -6.4% | -10.3% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +52.9% | +5.4% | +3.3% | +30.3% |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | -0.13 | -0.06 | +53.9% | +0.0% | -11.2% | -8.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.08 | -0.21 | -162.5% | -5.3% | -11.9% | -11.1% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | 0.02 | -0.20 | -1009.1% | -7.7% | -6.4% | -10.4% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | -0.04 | 0.41 | +1011.1% | -10.0% | -26.7% | -28.9% |
| 2024-03-21 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | +2.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | -0.13 | -0.07 | +44.7% | +13.8% | +15.4% | +14.1% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.16 | -0.21 | -27.3% | -0.2% | -7.3% | -3.1% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.19 | -0.23 | -17.3% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -6.1% |
| 2023-03-29 | beat | -0.28 | -0.26 | +7.5% | -1.3% | +2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2022-11-11 | miss | -0.19 | -0.31 | -62.5% | -2.2% | +0.5% | +4.9% |
| 2022-08-12 | miss | -0.13 | -0.19 | -42.3% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -9.7% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.14 | -0.14 | +2.4% | -1.4% | +2.5% | +12.2% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -4.8% | -4.7% | +2.9% | -6.1% |
| 2021-11-10 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -11.4% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2021-08-10 | beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +18.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.38 | -0.19 | +50.8% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +13.2% |
| 2021-03-30 | beat | -0.20 | -0.13 | +33.0% | +4.8% | +3.9% | +3.2% |
| 2020-11-16 | miss | -0.19 | -0.24 | -26.3% | +1.6% | -4.1% | -9.2% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -0.17 | -0.21 | -23.5% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -31.4% |
| 2020-05-14 | miss | -0.18 | -0.19 | -7.5% | +3.7% | -2.0% | +2.5% |
| 2020-02-14 | miss | -0.11 | -0.18 | -63.6% | -2.5% | +3.6% | -6.0% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.19 | -0.09 | +53.5% | +4.5% | -2.0% | -2.2% |
| 2019-08-09 | miss | -0.13 | -0.24 | -80.0% | +0.6% | -1.5% | -8.8% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +9.3% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +0.2% |
| 2019-03-13 | miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -20.0% | -3.1% | -12.3% | -19.9% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | -0.14 | -0.14 | +2.3% | +4.8% | -4.9% | -4.8% |
| 2018-08-13 | miss | -0.09 | -0.14 | -47.4% | +1.0% | +4.3% | -4.0% |
| 2018-05-14 | beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +18.2% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -5.0% |
| 2018-03-26 | miss | -0.13 | -0.15 | -11.1% | +2.4% | -0.4% | +15.1% |
| 2017-11-13 | miss | -0.04 | -0.15 | -275.0% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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