FHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.9%
Next 1 week
+2.1%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.55 +3.9% · Seasonal tilt (5y) -0.1%
$1M/day volume
83% volatility
-51% 1-year
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -73% from the high
$1.79$7.61
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.25.
1-day std dev
10.2%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+36.6%
Biggest drop
-12.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 24 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.23 | -0.10 | +57.1% | +3.7% | +14.1% | +33.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.31 | -0.29 | +7.2% | +0.0% | -10.3% | -13.7% |
| 2026-03-11 | miss | -0.26 | -0.37 | -42.4% | -0.9% | -12.9% | -13.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.30 | -0.25 | +16.7% | +0.3% | +13.3% | +28.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | -0.32 | -0.28 | +12.0% | +1.8% | -2.7% | -5.3% |
| 2025-05-14 | miss | -0.29 | -0.30 | -3.5% | -0.7% | -5.1% | -6.2% |
| 2025-03-06 | miss | -0.28 | -0.30 | -5.3% | -1.1% | +0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | -0.43 | -0.31 | +27.9% | -2.7% | +8.5% | +7.5% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.64 | -0.45 | +29.7% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +23.0% |
| 2024-05-06 | -0.59 | -0.59 | — | +0.8% | -2.7% | -5.3% | |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -0.70 | -0.57 | +18.3% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -10.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.65 | -0.34 | +47.7% | +3.5% | +7.1% | -8.2% |
| 2023-08-04 | miss | -0.69 | -0.70 | -1.0% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +4.9% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | -0.66 | -0.73 | -11.2% | +0.5% | -10.2% | +6.6% |
| 2023-03-09 | miss | -0.54 | -0.69 | -27.8% | +1.7% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.50 | -0.62 | -24.0% | -1.2% | -8.5% | -2.7% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.41 | -0.66 | -61.0% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +0.0% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.47 | -0.65 | -38.3% | -1.4% | -2.1% | +21.6% |
| 2022-03-10 | miss | -0.38 | -0.73 | -91.5% | +2.3% | +10.8% | +46.4% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | -0.59 | -0.71 | -19.3% | -0.2% | +2.9% | -0.5% |
| 2021-08-10 | miss | -0.59 | -0.63 | -5.9% | +0.4% | +7.8% | +16.2% |
| 2021-05-11 | miss | -0.55 | -0.62 | -12.7% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -5.1% |
| 2021-03-18 | miss | -0.35 | -0.46 | -30.2% | +0.0% | +36.6% | +12.5% |
| 2020-12-04 | miss | -2.69 | -3.12 | -16.0% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +15.9% |
Not investment advice.
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