FIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.4% median,
67% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 66
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.54 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$246M/day volume
58% volatility
-62% 1-year
-80% from ATH
52-week range · 14% of the way up · -37% from the high
$43.87$76.65
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.71.
1-day std dev
7.4%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+8.3%
Biggest drop
-44.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | 1.91 | 1.84 | -3.9% | -7.8% | +0.0% | +2.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 1.57 | 1.79 | +13.9% | -7.9% | -8.8% | -12.6% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 1.90 | 1.99 | +4.6% | -0.8% | +4.1% | +4.8% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 2.65 | 2.04 | -22.9% | -43.4% | -44.0% | -49.3% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 2.43 | 2.47 | +1.5% | -17.5% | -13.8% | -15.1% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 2.08 | 2.14 | +3.1% | -11.1% | -18.5% | -15.7% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 2.48 | 2.51 | +1.2% | +4.8% | +7.1% | +6.3% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 2.26 | 2.30 | +1.6% | -2.7% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 2.10 | 2.13 | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 1.79 | 1.88 | +5.1% | +7.0% | +4.4% | +2.6% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 2.15 | 2.19 | +1.7% | -1.8% | -2.1% | -0.4% |
| 2023-10-24 | beat | 1.93 | 1.96 | +1.7% | +3.2% | +5.3% | +3.8% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 1.79 | 1.81 | +0.9% | -4.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.1% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.0% | +2.7% | +8.3% | +9.0% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 1.69 | 1.63 | -3.8% | -5.8% | -2.9% | -7.1% |
| 2022-07-26 | beat | 1.55 | 1.56 | +0.8% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +8.3% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 1.35 | 1.40 | +3.6% | +2.8% | +5.0% | +6.7% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 1.56 | 1.57 | +0.9% | -5.9% | -6.0% | -8.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.45 | 1.47 | +1.5% | -2.6% | -10.0% | -7.6% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.28 | 1.37 | +7.1% | +1.5% | +3.0% | -2.8% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.13 | 1.17 | +3.5% | -1.3% | -3.9% | -6.7% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 1.29 | 1.30 | +0.7% | +0.4% | -3.6% | -0.4% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.9% | +0.4% | -3.2% | +4.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.1% | +3.0% | +4.5% | +1.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.4% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -6.8% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -3.8% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.99 | 1.02 | +2.7% | +2.9% | +4.5% | +8.8% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.8% | +2.7% | +6.2% | +8.3% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.2% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.7% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +2.1% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.4% | -6.6% | -5.5% | +0.6% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.8% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.8% | -0.9% | -3.6% | -0.2% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.5% | +10.0% | +3.0% | +8.7% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -2.7% | -4.2% | -3.0% | -0.5% |
| 2017-08-01 | miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -3.3% | -3.7% | -4.1% | -4.6% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.0% | +0.7% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2017-02-08 | miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.6% | -6.8% | -3.2% | -1.9% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.6% | -2.5% | -4.5% | -4.8% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +4.3% | -0.5% | +3.4% | +4.6% |
| 2016-02-02 | beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.3% | +2.1% | +1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +5.8% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +0.3% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.5% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +3.0% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +3.5% |
| 2015-02-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +0.4% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +4.3% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.2% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +0.4% | -1.4% | +0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.3% | +1.0% | +5.7% | +7.3% |
| 2014-02-05 | miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -2.4% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +0.6% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.2% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.0% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +9.1% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -1.3% | -4.7% | -4.6% | -2.6% |
| 2013-02-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.0% | -3.1% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.7% | -3.9% | -1.3% | -6.3% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.2% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +1.8% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.0% | +1.2% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
Not investment advice.
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